Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 3/14/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: Prime Video

State Farm Arena is the site where the Atlanta Hawks (35-31) will try to beat the Milwaukee Bucks (27-38) on Saturday.

The Bucks stepped onto the hardwood against the Heat and took a loss by a final of 112-105 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Bucks ended up finishing with 30 while the Heat accounted for 14 personal fouls. They also knocked down 14 of 41 attempts from downtown. Miami finished the contest at 81.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 22 of 27 attempts. In addition, Miami grabbed 53 boards (15 offensive, 38 defensive) and earned 2 blocks. Miami totaled 26 dimes and had 4 steals in the matchup. Concerning the defense, Milwaukee allowed the other team to go 41.3% from the floor on 38 of 92 shooting. They also doled out 26 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and getting 10 steals. With respect to getting rebounds, they collected 36 with 3 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Bucks converted 14 of their 19 tries for a rate of 73.7%. Milwaukee finished having earned a 49.4% field goal percentage (41 out of 83) and buried 9 of their 26 shots from downtown.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is someone who was a factor in this contest. He had 31 points on 12 out of 24 shooting. He played 29 mins played and collected 6 rebounds. Antetokounmpo ended up shooting 50.0% from the floor and also earned 3 dimes.

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Milwaukee enters this game with a mark of 27-38 so far this season. They are turning it over 14.6 times per contest and as a group are committing 19.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Milwaukee is grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game and has accumulated 1,685 assists on the year, which is 21st in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Bucks are shooting 38.5% on shots from distance (947 of 2,457) and 73.2% from the free throw line. They average 111.0 points per outing (28th in the league) while hitting 47.9% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Bucks are forcing 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.9 personal fouls. They give up 36.8% on 3-point attempts and they rank 17th in basketball in points per game allowed (115.9). The Bucks defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.7% (2,676 of 5,733) and they relinquish 45.0 boards per contest as a basketball team. They are ranked 19th in the league in giving up assists with 1,793 conceded for the season.

In their last game, the Hawks got the victory with a final of 108-97 against the Nets. In regard to cleaning the glass, Atlanta allowed Brooklyn to get 39 in all (4 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 34.3% from three-point range by going 12 out of 35 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 22 at the free throw line (77.3%). The Hawks permitted the Nets to convert 34 of their 72 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.2% for this contest. Overall, the Hawks went 35 out of 89 from the field which had them shooting 39.3%. In the matter of shots from beyond the perimeter, Atlanta buried 12 out of 40 tries (30.0%). They were able to knock down 26 of the free throws for a rate of 74.3%. The Nets earned 29 fouls for the matchup which took the Hawks to the free throw line for a total of 35 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 12 steals in this game. The Hawks were able to collect 34 defensive boards and 17 offensive boards for a total of 51 for the game.

Jalen Johnson ended up being a factor for the Hawks for the game. He made 7 of 15 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 46.7%, and had 9 rebounds. Johnson racked up 21 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and had 9 dimes for the matchup.

Atlanta has a record of 35-31 for the year. As an offensive team, the Hawks are shooting 47.1% from the floor, which ranks 13th in the league. Atlanta has accounted for 7,766 points so far this season (117.7 per game) and they pull in 43.3 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 30.3 times per game (1st in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.3 times per contest. The Hawks are committing 19.7 fouls every game and they connect on 77.4% from the free throw line.

The Hawks on the defensive end are ranked 21st in the league in points allowed per contest with 116.9. They are able to force 15.9 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 47.3% from the field (19th in the NBA). The Atlanta defense allows 35.7% on 3-point shots (864 of 2,423) and opponents are making 79.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 26.8 assists and 46.1 boards per contest, which has them ranked 16th and 26th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta

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