Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 11/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NBC Sports Boston

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+11.5)

The Boston Celtics (5-2) are welcoming the Milwaukee Bucks (1-6) at TD Garden on Wednesday. Boston opens this contest as 11.5-point favorites. The over/under is 223.5.

The Bucks played the Timberwolves and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 112-100 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Bucks ended up with 21 while the Timberwolves accounted for 15 fouls. They also made 16 out of their 45 tries from long range. Minnesota ended up shooting 53.8% from the charity stripe by making 14 of 26 attempts. Additionally, Minnesota snagged 59 boards (21 offensive, 38 defensive) and added 8 blocked shots. Minnesota recorded 23 dimes and had 7 steals in this contest. Concerning defending, Milwaukee allowed the other team to shoot 42.7% from the floor on 41 of 96 shooting. They also dished out 24 assists in this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 5 steals. Concerning grabbing rebounds, they compiled 53 with 18 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Bucks made 9 of their 12 tries for a percentage of 75.0%. Milwaukee finished the game having earned a 38.4% FG percentage (38 of 99) and made 15 of their 49 3-point shots.

Tyler Herro is a player who had an impact in this matchup. Herro ended up shooting 44.4% from the field and also recorded 3 assists. He played for 31 mins and collected 6 rebounds. He ended up with 21 points on 8 of 18 shooting.

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Milwaukee enters this contest with a win-loss record of 1-6 on the campaign. They average 111.1 points per contest (20th in basketball) while connecting on 43.3% from the floor. The Bucks are hitting 33.3% on shots from downtown (102 of 306) and 71.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Milwaukee is pulling in 49.6 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 180 dimes for the season, which ranks 19th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 16.7 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 22.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Bucks are forcing 12.7 turnovers every game and they draw 19.0 personal fouls. They rank 22nd in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 201 relinquished on the season. The Bucks are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.0% (309 of 658) and they surrender 47.9 boards per contest as a squad. They give up 35.0% on shots from downtown and they are 28th in the NBA in opponents PPG (124.1).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Celtics took a defeat by a final score of 109-93 when they faced the Rockets. When talking about how they attacked the glass, Boston allowed Houston to grab 36 overall (9 offensive). They went 40.0% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 14 out of 35 and finished the contest at 9 of 13 at the free throw line (69.2%). The Celtics permitted the Rockets to make 43 out of 79 tries from the floor which had them shooting 54.4% in this game. Overall, the Celtics ended up shooting 32 for 83 from the floor which had them shooting 38.6%. With respect to shooting from beyond the arc, Boston made 12 out of 42 tries (28.6%). They were able to bury 17 of them for a rate of 85.0%. The Rockets had 22 personal fouls in this game which took the Celtics to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while getting 6 steals for the matchup. The Celtics were able to pull down 25 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards for a total of 38 for the matchup.

Jayson Tatum ended up having an impact for the Celtics in the game. He converted 5 out of 16 for this game giving him a field goal percentage of 31.3%, and had 6 rebounds. Tatum recorded 19 points in his 32 mins of playing time and had 9 dimes in the game.

Boston has a record of 5-2 on the campaign. The Celtics commit 24.0 personal fouls every game and they hit 78.4% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 26.9 times per game (11th in the league) and they turn the ball over 15.4 times per contest. Boston has accounted for 805 points for the season (115.0 per game) and they pull in 42.4 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Celtics are connecting on 45.7% from the field, which ranks them 18th in the NBA.

The Boston defense allows 34.6% on 3-point attempts (103 of 298) and opponents are making 73.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 26.0 assists and 44.4 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 13th and 14th in the NBA. The Celtics on the defensive side of the court are 10th in the league in PPG surrendered with 109.1. They are forcing their opponents into 17.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.2% from the floor (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+11.5)

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