Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 1/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

The Milwaukee Bucks (16-21) are en route to Ball Arena on Sunday where they will go up against the Denver Nuggets (25-12).

The Bucks faced the Warriors and went home with a loss by a final score of 120-113 in their last game. Milwaukee finished with a 54.1% FG percentage (46 out of 85) and converted 14 out of their 32 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Bucks made 7 of their 12 shots for a percentage of 58.3%. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they collected 36 with 5 of them being offensive. They also dished out 29 dimes in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and getting 3 steals. In terms of the defense, Milwaukee allowed the other team to go 49.4% from the field on 44 out of 89 shooting. Golden State doled out 31 dimes and had 6 steals for this game. Moreover, Golden State collected 41 rebounds (8 offensive, 33 defensive) and added 3 blocked shots. Golden State finished shooting 77.8% at the charity stripe by converting 14 of 18 attempts. They also buried 18 of their 47 attempts from three-point range. With respect to fouls, the Bucks walked away with 15 and the Warriors finished the game with 15 fouls.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is one player who was a factor for the contest. He accounted for 34 points on 15 out of 22 shooting. He saw the court for 31 mins and snagged 10 rebounds. Antetokounmpo finished the game at 68.2% from the field and also dished out 5 assists.

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Milwaukee comes into this one with a record of 16-21 so far this year. They currently have an average of 113.3 points per outing (25th in the NBA) while connecting on 48.6% from the field. The Bucks are hitting 39.6% on 3-pointers (545 of 1,377) and 73.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Milwaukee is collecting 40.4 boards per contest and has racked up 971 dimes for the season, which ranks 16th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 14.8 times per game and as a unit they commit 21.1 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Bucks are forcing 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.0 fouls. They are giving up 36.1% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 14th in the NBA in PPG allowed (115.6). The Bucks defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.7% (1,511 of 3,235) and they surrender 44.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 17th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 989 surrendered on the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Nuggets got the win with a final of 114-110 when they played the Celtics. Concerning attacking the glass, Denver permitted Boston to collect 53 in total (21 offensive). They wrapped up this game 39.5% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 15 out of 38 and finished the contest at 9 of 15 from the free throw line (60.0%). The Nuggets allowed the Celtics to bury 43 of their 95 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 45.3% for the matchup. Overall, the Nuggets ended up shooting 39 out of 87 from the field which had them shooting 44.8%. Regarding 3-pointers, Denver converted 20 of 44 tries (45.5%). They were able to bury 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 66.7%. The Celtics committed 20 personal fouls for the game which got the Nuggets to the charity stripe for a total of 24 attempts. They also turned it over 9 times, while recording 7 steals in this game. The Nuggets corralled 27 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 39 in the matchup.

Peyton Watson ended up being a major contributor for the Nuggets in the game. Watson tallied 30 points in his 37 mins on the court and had 2 dimes for this contest. He buried 10 of 15 for the contest giving him a rate of 66.7%, and had 6 rebounds.

Denver has a win-loss record of 25-12 for the season. The Nuggets are responsible for committing 19.2 personal fouls every game and they go 81.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 29.1 times per game (5th in the league) and they are giving up possession 13.2 times per game. Denver has accumulated 4,591 pts for the year (124.1 per game) and they average 43.2 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Nuggets are connecting on 50.7% from the floor, which ranks them 1st in the league.

The Denver defense surrenders 35.4% on shots from 3-point land (498 of 1,405) and their opponents are connecting on 78.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 27.5 assists and 42.3 rebounds every game, which is ranked 22nd and 7th in the league. The Nuggets on defense are ranked 22nd in the league in PPG surrendered with 118.1. They are forcing 12.5 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 47.2% from the floor (17th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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