Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards Prediction, 10/21/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards

Date: Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: Monumental Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (+5.5)

The Milwaukee Bucks (32-50 last season) are en route to Capital One Arena on Wednesday where they will play the Washington Wizards (17-65 last year). Milwaukee opens this contest as 5.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 238.

The Bucks faced the 76ers and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 126-106 in their last contest. Milwaukee finished the game having earned a 43.3% FG percentage (39 of 90) and made 13 out of their 47 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Bucks made 15 of 22 tries for a percentage of 68.2%. With respect to getting rebounds, they earned 58 with 19 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 30 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and having 4 steals. Concerning the defense, Milwaukee allowed their opponent to shoot 51.6% from the field on 47 of 91 shooting. Philadelphia distributed 27 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Philadelphia grabbed 45 boards (14 offensive, 31 defensive) and added 5 rejections. Philadelphia ended up going 76.2% from the free throw line by making 16 of their 21 tries. They made 16 out of their 41 shots from three-point range. Concerning personal fouls, the Bucks walked away with 16 and the 76ers recorded 18 personal fouls.

Cormac Ryan is someone who was a contributor in the matchup. Ryan walked away from this one shooting 40.0% from the field and distributed 4 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 38 minutes played and pulled down 10 boards. He ended up walking away with 22 points on 8 out of 20 shooting.

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Milwaukee will play this contest after finishing with a win-loss record of 32-50 last season. They averaged 110.6 pts per contest (29th in the league) while shooting 47.7% from the field. The Bucks shot 38.7% on shots from distance (1,240 of 3,205) and 73.0% from the free throw line. As a team, Milwaukee grabbed 40.7 rebounds per game and earned 2,116 dimes over the course of last season, which was 18th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They lost possession by turning the ball over 15.2 times per contest and as a basketball team committed 19.7 fouls per contest.

When they were on the defensive end, the Bucks forced 13.1 turnovers per game while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They were ranked 23rd in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,284 surrendered over the course of last season. The Bucks gave up a FG percentage of 47.3% (3,407 of 7,198) and they relinquished 44.5 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They gave up 37.5% on shots from distance and they ranked 20th in basketball in PPG allowed (116.8).

In their last game, the Wizards took a loss by a score of 130-117 against the Cavaliers. The Wizards were able to pull down 31 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 37 in the game. They also coughed it up 13 times, while earning 8 steals in the matchup. The Cavaliers earned 10 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Wizards to the charity stripe for a total of 19 shots. They were able to bury 15 of them for a rate of 78.9%. Pertaining to 3-pointers, Washington converted 18 of their 41 tries (43.9%). At the conclusion of this game, the Wizards finished 42 for 90 from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.7%. The Wizards allowed the Cavaliers to bury 48 of 89 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 53.9% for this game. They finished the game shooting 41.9% from beyond the perimeter by going 18 out of 43 and finished the game at 16 of 21 from the free throw line (76.2%). When discussing cleaning up the glass, Washington allowed Cleveland to grab 64 in all (21 on the offensive glass).

Jamir Watkins was important for the Wizards in this matchup. He converted 7 out of 13 for this contest for a rate of 53.8%, and had 4 rebounds. Watkins earned 24 points in his 34 mins of playing time and tallied 3 dimes in this game.

Washington had a mark of 17-65 last season. The Wizards were responsible for committing 21.3 fouls per contest and they shot 76.6% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists was at 25.0 times per game (25th in the NBA) and they lost possession via turnover 15.7 times per contest. Washington scored 9,258 points last season (112.9 per contest) and they grabbed 41.9 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Wizards shot 46.3% from the field, which ranked 22nd in basketball.

The Washington defense gave up 36.8% from downtown (1,123 of 3,048) and opponents converted on 79.7% of their free throw shots. They gave up 29.4 dimes and 47.8 total rebounds per game, which was ranked 29th and 30th in basketball. The Wizards on the defensive end were ranked 29th in basketball in points allowed per contest with 124.9. They forced their opponents into 13.8 TO's per game and allowed teams to shoot 48.8% from the field (26th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (-5.5)

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