Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 1/28/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

The Dallas Mavericks (19-27) are hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (28-19) at American Airlines Center on Wednesday.

The Timberwolves took the court against the Warriors and took home the win by a score of 108-83 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Timberwolves finished with 15 and the Warriors accumulated 19 personal fouls. They buried 9 out of their 39 tries from 3-point land. Golden State shot 61.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 8 of their 13 attempts. Moreover, Golden State pulled down 45 rebounds (11 offensive, 34 defensive) and got 10 blocks. Golden State recorded 21 dimes and had 13 steals in this contest. In regard to defending, Minnesota allowed the other team to go 34.7% from the field on 33 out of 95 shooting. They also distributed 29 assists in the game while forcing 19 turnovers and having 12 steals. In terms of pulling down rebounds, they collected 56 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Timberwolves made 20 of 26 shots for a percentage of 76.9%. Minnesota wrapped up the game with a 45.7% FG percentage (37 of 81) and buried 14 of their 35 three-point shots.

Julius Randle is a player who was a contributor for this game. He left the arena with 18 points on 7 of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 23 mins played and also pulled down 7 rebounds. Randle finished 46.7% from the field and recorded 2 dimes.

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Minnesota comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 28-19 on the campaign. They cough up possession 14.5 times per contest and as a unit they commit 21.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Minnesota is snagging 45.1 rebounds per contest and has tallied 1,253 dimes this season, which ranks 11th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Timberwolves are shooting 37.2% on three-point shots (663 of 1,783) and 75.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 119.0 pts per contest (6th in basketball) while connecting on 48.1% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Timberwolves have forced 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 21.2 personal fouls. They currently rank 15th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,222 relinquished for the season. The Timberwolves defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 45.9% (1,945 of 4,235) and they surrender 43.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They give up 35.4% from beyond the arc and they rank 11th in basketball in points per game from their opponents (114.3).

In their last game, the Mavericks went home defeated by a final of 116-110 against the Lakers. The Mavericks earned 32 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 43 in this game. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while getting 10 steals for this contest. The Lakers were called for 20 fouls in the game which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for 29 tries. They were able to knock down 22 of the free throw tries for a rate of 75.9%. In reference to shots from beyond the arc, Dallas knocked down 10 of 29 tries (34.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks finished 39 for 94 from the field which had them sitting at 41.5%. The Mavericks allowed the Lakers to bury 40 of their 90 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.4% for this contest. They finished the game shooting 41.2% from 3-point land by going 14 of 34 and finished the game at 22 out of 29 from the charity stripe (75.9%). In relation to rebounding, Dallas permitted Los Angeles to collect 57 overall (16 offensive).

Max Christie ended up being a factor for the Mavericks for the game. Christie earned 24 points in his 35 mins on the hardwood and accumulated 3 assists in the game. He buried 8 out of 18 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 44.4%, and had 2 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 19-27 so far this year. The Mavericks commit 19.0 personal fouls every game and they shoot 74.9% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 25.4 times per contest (19th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 15.2 times per game. Dallas has totaled 5,257 pts this season (114.3 per game) and they snag 44.9 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Mavericks are connecting on 47.3% from the field, which is ranked 11th in the league.

The Dallas defense concedes 33.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter (543 of 1,642) and their opposition knocks down 77.8% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 26.7 dimes and 47.0 total rebounds per game, which is 14th and 27th in basketball. The Mavericks defensively are ranked 21st in the league in PPG surrendered with 116.5. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.2% from the floor (10th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota

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