Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 11/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Date: Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+8.5)

The Houston Rockets (7-1) will compete against the Minnesota Timberwolves (5-3) at Toyota Center on Wednesday. Minnesota opens this contest as 8.5-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 219.5.

The Timberwolves faced off with the Bucks and took home the win by a score of 112-100 in their last contest. Minnesota ended the game with a 42.7% field goal percentage (41 of 96) and buried 16 out of their 45 3-point shots. When they shot from the free throw line, the Timberwolves made 14 of 26 shots for a rate of 53.8%. In regard to hauling in rebounds, they compiled 59 with 21 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 23 assists for this game as well as forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In relation to defending, Minnesota allowed their opponent to shoot 38.4% from the floor on 38 of 99 shooting. Milwaukee earned 24 dimes and had 5 steals in the matchup. In addition, Milwaukee snagged 53 rebounds (18 offensive, 35 defensive) and earned 9 rejections. Milwaukee finished the game at 75.0% at the free throw line by converting 9 of their 12 tries. They also buried 15 of their 49 shots from 3-point land. In regard to fouls, the Timberwolves ended up finishing with 15 while the Bucks recorded 21 fouls.

LaMelo Ball is someone who played a role in the matchup. Ball went 57.1% from the floor and also dished out 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 33 minutes and totaled 6 boards. He ended up walking away with 34 points on 12 out of 21 shooting.

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Minnesota comes into this game with a mark of 5-3 this season. They are turning it over 15.3 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 22.0 fouls per game. As a team, Minnesota is snagging 49.8 boards per game and has accounted for 213 dimes this season, which ranks 5th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Timberwolves are shooting 37.5% on shots from distance (121 of 323) and 64.5% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 119.0 pts per contest (8th in basketball) while shooting 47.0% from the field.

On defense, the Timberwolves are forcing 16.5 turnovers per game while drawing 22.8 fouls. They are relinquishing 31.1% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 6th in basketball in points per game allowed (107.6). The Timberwolves defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 43.5% (312 of 718) and they surrender 44.8 boards per game as a squad. They are 20th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 197 relinquished so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Rockets took home the win by a final score of 109-93 when they faced the Celtics. In reference to cleaning the glass, Houston allowed Boston to get 38 in all (13 on the offensive glass). They shot 28.6% from distance by connecting on 12 out of 42 and walked away from this one shooting 17 of 20 at the charity stripe (85.0%). The Rockets allowed the Celtics to knock down 32 of their 83 tries from the field which had them at 38.6% for this game. In all, the Rockets went 43 for 79 from the field which gave them a percentage of 54.4%. With regard to 3-point attempts, Houston buried 14 out of 35 tries (40.0%). They were able to bury 9 of them for a percentage of 69.2%. The Celtics committed 19 personal fouls for this game which took the Rockets to the free throw line for 13 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while earning 8 steals for the contest. The Rockets were able to corral 27 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 36 in this matchup.

Alperen Sengun was important for the Rockets in this matchup. Sengun racked up 26 points in his 38 minutes on the court and tallied 10 dimes in the game. He converted 12 out of 15 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 80.0%, and had 7 rebounds.

Houston has a win-loss record of 7-1 for the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Rockets are shooting 49.8% from the floor, which ranks them 2nd in the league. Houston has totaled 954 pts so far this year (119.3 per game) and they collect 44.1 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 28.9 times per contest (3rd in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 15.1 times per game. The Rockets commit 19.8 fouls every game and they shoot 81.6% from the charity stripe.

The Houston defense surrenders 30.0% on 3-point shots (93 of 310) and their opponents are making 75.1% of their free throw shots. They give up 23.1 dimes and 39.0 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 3rd and 1st in the league. The Rockets on defense are ranked 4th in the NBA in PPG given up with 106.4. They are forcing their opponents into 16.0 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 44.7% from the floor (11th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+8.5)

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