Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 4/10/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets

Date: Friday, April 10, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

The Houston Rockets (50-29) will try to defeat the Minnesota Timberwolves (47-33) at Toyota Center on Friday.

The Timberwolves faced off with the Magic and took a loss by a final of 132-120 in their last game. With respect to personal fouls, the Timberwolves walked away with 20 while the Magic finished the game with 18 personal fouls. They also converted 12 of 29 shots from long range. Orlando shot 78.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 18 of 23 shots. Moreover, Orlando had 48 rebounds (19 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 7 blocks. Orlando doled out 33 assists and had 5 steals for this contest. When discussing defending, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 53.7% from the field on 51 of 95 shooting. They also recorded 22 assists for this game in addition to forcing 17 turnovers and getting 10 steals. With regard to getting rebounds, they collected 33 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Timberwolves buried 12 of their 14 shots for a percentage of 85.7%. Minnesota finished having earned a 50.0% field goal percentage (45 out of 90) and made 18 of their 44 shots from 3-point land.

Terrence Shannon Jr. is one player who had an impact for the game. Shannon Jr. shot 78.6% from the floor and also recorded 5 assists. He was on the court for 31 mins played and collected 2 boards. He notched 33 points on 11 out of 14 shooting.

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Minnesota comes into this contest with a record of 47-33 on the year. They are turning it over 14.9 times per game and as a unit they commit 21.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Minnesota is grabbing 44.3 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 2,079 assists on the season, which is 16th in the league in terms of passing. The Timberwolves are hitting 37.0% on three-point attempts (1,103 of 2,982) and 75.2% from the free throw line. They have an average of 117.6 points per game (7th in the NBA) while shooting 48.0% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Timberwolves have forced 15.1 turnovers per game and they draw 20.4 personal fouls. They give up 35.7% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 11th in the league in PPG allowed (114.3). The Timberwolves are allowing a shooting percentage of 46.1% (3,297 of 7,158) and they concede 43.7 boards per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 10th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,087 surrendered on the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Rockets walked away with a victory by a final of 119-105 against the Suns. In regard to rebounds, Houston allowed Phoenix to get 34 in total (10 offensive). They finished shooting 22.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 out of 31 and walked away from this one shooting 34 of 39 from the free throw line (87.2%). The Rockets permitted the Suns to convert 32 out of 75 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 42.7% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Rockets walked away from this one shooting 45 out of 100 from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.0%. When it comes to shots from downtown, Houston buried 14 of their 38 attempts (36.8%). They were able to bury 15 of them for a percentage of 93.8%. The Suns committed 20 personal fouls in the game which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 16 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 19 times, while getting 8 steals in the matchup. The Rockets snagged 31 defensive rebounds and 24 offensive rebounds totaling 55 in this contest.

Kevin Durant was important for the Rockets in the matchup. He made 8 out of 20 for the contest for a rate of 40.0%, and had 4 rebounds. Durant earned 24 points in his 36 minutes on the court and earned 3 dimes in the matchup.

Houston has a win-loss mark of 50-29 on the season. The Rockets are committing 18.4 fouls every game and they connect on 76.4% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 25.4 times per game (21st in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 15.5 times per contest. Houston has scored 9,072 pts for the year (114.8 per game) and they pull in 48.0 boards per contest. As an offensive team, the Rockets are shooting 47.8% from the field, which has them ranked 10th in basketball.

The Houston defense gives up 35.1% on three-point shots (975 of 2,781) and their opponents are converting on 75.6% of their foul shots. They give up 24.6 dimes and 39.6 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 3rd and 2nd in the NBA. The Rockets defensively are ranked 4th in the league in PPG surrendered with 109.9. They are forcing their opponents into 13.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (6th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston

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