Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 3/15/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: ABC

Paycom Center is the site where the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-15) will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-26) on Sunday.

The Timberwolves faced off with the Clippers and ended up losing by a score of 153-128 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Timberwolves ended up with 24 and the Clippers racked up 24 personal fouls. They made 19 out of their 37 attempts from 3-point land. Los Angeles finished the game shooting 83.3% at the charity stripe by converting 30 of 36 attempts. On top of that, Los Angeles grabbed 29 boards (7 offensive, 22 defensive) and added 1 block. Los Angeles distributed 36 dimes and had 16 steals in the matchup. When it comes to the defense, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 63.4% from the floor on 52 of 82 shooting. They also dished out 32 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 5 steals. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they collected a total of 28 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Timberwolves made 25 of 29 shots for a rate of 86.2%. Minnesota walked away from the contest having earned a 59.7% field goal percentage (46 out of 77) and knocked down 11 out of their 25 three-point attempts.

Anthony Edwards is someone who came through in the game. He ended up scoring 36 points on 11 out of 17 shooting. He played 35 mins played and pulled down 2 rebounds. Edwards ended up going 64.7% from the field and totaled 5 assists.

Get all of our NBA Picks Today

Minnesota heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 40-26 on the season. They have an average of 118.6 points per outing (6th in the league) while going 48.4% from the field. The Timberwolves are shooting 37.1% on three-point attempts (916 of 2,472) and 74.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Minnesota is pulling in 44.3 rebounds per game and has accumulated 1,730 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 15th in the NBA in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 14.7 times per contest and as a group they are committing 21.4 fouls per contest.

On defense, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.9 turnovers per game and they draw 20.8 fouls. They are currently ranked 11th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,724 relinquished for the season. The Timberwolves are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.5% (2,741 of 5,891) and they relinquish 43.0 boards per contest as a squad. They concede 36.1% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 15th in basketball in points per game from their opponents (115.1).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Thunder took home the win by a final score of 104-102 against the Celtics. In regard to rebounding, Oklahoma City allowed Boston to get 44 in all (12 offensive). They went 31.0% from behind the 3-point line by going 13 out of 42 and finished the contest at 19 of 20 at the free throw line (95.0%). The Thunder permitted the Celtics to bury 35 of 87 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 40.2% for this contest. Overall, the Thunder went 40 out of 84 from the floor which had them at 47.6%. Concerning three-point attempts, Oklahoma City converted 11 of their 44 attempts (25.0%). They were able to bury 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 76.5%. The Celtics had 18 fouls in the game which took the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 17 attempts. They also gave up possession 12 times, while getting 7 steals for this contest. The Thunder recorded 28 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 in this contest.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up being important for the Thunder in the game. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 35 points in his 39 minutes of playing time and had 9 assists in this game. He made 13 of 18 for this game for a field goal rate of 72.2%, and had 6 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a win-loss record of 52-15 for the campaign. As an offensive team, the Thunder are hitting on 48.2% from the field, which ranks them 5th in the NBA. Oklahoma City has accounted for 7,944 points on the year (118.6 per game) and they snag 43.7 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 25.4 times per contest (20th in basketball) and they are turning it over 12.6 times per contest. The Thunder have committed 19.2 fouls per game and they hit 82.1% from the free throw line.

The Oklahoma City defense gives up 36.5% on 3-point shots (951 of 2,609) and their opponents are making 74.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 25.0 dimes and 45.7 boards per game, which has them ranked 8th and 25th in the NBA. The Thunder on defense are ranked 2nd in basketball in points allowed per game with 107.8. They are able to force 16.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.5% from the field (1st in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.