Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 1/17/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Frost Bank Center is the location where the San Antonio Spurs (27-13) will try to defeat the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) on Saturday.

The Timberwolves faced the Bucks and went home with a win by a final score of 139-106 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Timberwolves ended up walking away with 16 while the Bucks totaled 14 fouls. They also converted 13 of 36 shots from long range. Milwaukee finished shooting 57.9% from the charity stripe by converting 11 of their 19 attempts. In addition, Milwaukee pulled down 32 rebounds (9 offensive, 23 defensive) and earned 2 blocks. Milwaukee earned 29 dimes and had 12 steals for the contest. In regard to the defense, Minnesota allowed the other team to go 48.2% from the floor on 41 of 85 shooting. They also doled out 37 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 20 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In relation to grabbing rebounds, they earned 44 with 9 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Timberwolves made 7 of 12 tries for a rate of 58.3%. Minnesota finished the game having earned a 59.8% field goal percentage (55 out of 92) and converted 22 of their 42 three-point shots.

Julius Randle is a player who came through in the matchup. Randle finished the game at 66.7% from the field and also distributed 6 dimes. He played 30 mins and grabbed 8 rebounds. He accumulated 29 points on 12 out of 18 shooting.

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Minnesota enters this one with a win-loss record of 27-14 on the campaign. They are turning it over 14.2 times per contest and as a group they are committing 21.4 fouls per contest. As a team, Minnesota is collecting 44.8 rebounds per game and is sitting with 1,108 dimes for the season, which is 10th in the league in terms of passing. The Timberwolves are shooting 37.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (582 of 1,558) and 75.3% from the charity stripe. They average 120.3 pts per game (3rd in the league) while hitting 48.6% from the field.

On defense, the Timberwolves are forcing 15.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 15th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,057 surrendered on the year. The Timberwolves defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 46.0% (1,700 of 3,694) and they concede 43.1 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They give up 35.3% on 3-point attempts while they are 11th in the league in PPG allowed (114.6).

The last time they took the court, the Spurs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 119-98 when they faced the Thunder. The Spurs recorded 30 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 42 for the contest. They also coughed up the ball 12 times, while recording 4 steals in the game. The Thunder had 23 personal fouls for the contest which took the Spurs to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They were able to convert 17 of them for a clip of 70.8%. When talking about three-point shots, San Antonio made 13 of 37 attempts (35.1%). When all was said and done, the Spurs went 34 for 85 from the field which had them shooting 40.0%. The Spurs permitted the Thunder to convert 42 out of their 81 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.9% for this contest. They wrapped up this game 36.7% from three-point range by going 11 out of 30 and finished the contest at 24 of 27 at the free throw line (88.9%). When it comes to team rebounding, San Antonio allowed Oklahoma City to pull down 43 overall (5 offensive).

Stephon Castle ended up being a major contributor for the Spurs for this game. He knocked down 6 out of 13 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and accounted for 7 rebounds. Castle racked up 20 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 8 assists for the game.

San Antonio has a win-loss record of 27-13 this year. In terms of offensive execution, the Spurs are hitting on 47.1% from the floor, which is ranked 13th in the NBA. San Antonio has totaled 4,704 points for the year (117.6 per contest) and they pull in 46.7 boards per game. They are earning an assist 25.5 times per contest (17th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 13.9 times per contest. The Spurs have committed 19.5 personal fouls every game and they shoot 79.5% from the free throw line.

The Spurs on the defensive side of the court are 7th in the league in PPG given up with 112.8. They have forced 13.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 46.1% from the field (7th in basketball). The San Antonio defense surrenders 36.0% on shots from distance (533 of 1,482) and their opponents are knocking down 77.5% of their free throw attempts. They give up 26.4 assists and 43.0 rebounds every game, which ranks them 13th and 9th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Antonio

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