Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 5/12/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+9.5)

The San Antonio Spurs (62-20) will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) at Frost Bank Center on Tuesday in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 2-2. Minnesota opens as 9.5-point dogs. The total is 217.5.

The Timberwolves went home with a win by a final score of 114-109 in Game 4. Minnesota ended the game with a 44.7% FG percentage (42 out of 94) and converted 10 out of their 27 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Timberwolves made 20 of 22 attempts for a rate of 90.9%. When talking about grabbing boards, they earned 49 with 15 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 20 assists in this game while forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and having 5 steals. Regarding defending, Minnesota allowed the other team to shoot 47.7% from the field on 41 of 86 shooting. San Antonio distributed 17 assists and had 13 steals for this contest. Additionally, San Antonio pulled down 41 boards (13 offensive, 28 defensive) and got 1 block. San Antonio ended up going 77.8% at the charity stripe by converting 21 of 27 tries. They converted 6 of their 26 tries from long range. With respect to personal fouls, the Timberwolves ended up with 23 and the Spurs racked up 20 personal fouls.

Anthony Edwards is someone who played a role for the game. He recorded 36 points on 13 out of 22 shooting. He played 40 minutes played and also grabbed 6 boards. Edwards finished shooting 59.1% from the field and dished out 2 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Betting Picks

Minnesota will take the court with a win-loss record of 49-33 so far this season. They currently have an average of 118.0 points per outing (7th in the league) while going 48.1% from the floor. The Timberwolves are connecting on 37.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,128 of 3,049) and 75.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Minnesota is collecting 44.1 boards per game and is sitting with 2,138 assists on the season, which ranks 16th in the league in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.8 times per game and as a group are committing 21.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Timberwolves are able to force 15.0 turnovers every game while drawing 20.5 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 10th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,136 relinquished on the campaign. The Timberwolves defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.2% (3,395 of 7,352) and they concede 43.7 rebounds per game as a team. They are giving up 35.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 12th in basketball in points per game allowed (114.6).

San Antonio couldn't overcome losing Victor Wembanyama to an ejection early in Game 4. When talking about how they cleaned up the glass, San Antonio allowed Minnesota to pull down 49 in all (15 on the offensive glass). They finished 37.0% from 3-point land by going 10 out of 27 and finished the contest at 20 out of 22 from the free throw line (90.9%). The Spurs permitted the Timberwolves to convert 42 out of 94 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.7% for this game. When the final whistle blew, the Spurs finished shooting 41 for 86 from the field which had them shooting 47.7%. When talking about 3-pointers, San Antonio converted 6 of their 26 attempts (23.1%). They were able to make 21 of those for a clip of 77.8%. The Timberwolves were called for 23 personal fouls for the game which took the Spurs to the charity stripe for a total of 27 attempts. They turned it over 14 times, while getting 13 steals for the contest. The Spurs were able to collect 28 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards for a total of 41 in this game.

De'Aaron Fox ended up being a major contributor for the Spurs for this game. He converted 8 out of 23 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 34.8%, and had 4 rebounds. Fox earned 24 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 3 dimes for the contest.

San Antonio has a win-loss mark of 62-20 on the year. The Spurs commit 18.9 personal fouls every game and they hit 78.7% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 28.1 times per contest (9th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 13.5 times per contest. San Antonio has tallied 9,826 pts on the season (119.8 per game) and they collect 47.0 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Spurs are shooting 48.3% from the floor, which has them ranked 6th in basketball.

The San Antonio defense gives up 35.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,066 of 3,028) and their opposition knocks down 79.0% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 26.2 dimes and 42.6 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 12th and 8th in the NBA. The Spurs on the defensive side of the court are 8th in the league in PPG surrendered with 111.5. They are able to force 13.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.1% from the field (4th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+9.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.