Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 1/19/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Monday, January 19, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: NBC

The Cleveland Cavaliers (23-19) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-7) at Rocket Arena on Monday.

The Thunder faced off with the Rockets and earned the victory with a final of 111-91 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Thunder finished with 16 and the Rockets recorded 12 personal fouls. They knocked down 7 of their 24 attempts from distance. Houston shot 82.4% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of 17 attempts. In addition, Houston pulled down 60 rebounds (23 offensive, 37 defensive) and had 12 rejections. Houston doled out 17 assists and had 10 steals for the contest. When discussing the defense, Oklahoma City allowed 33.7% from the floor on 35 of 104 shooting. They also dished out 25 dimes for the contest as well as creating 16 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When it comes to pulling down boards, they collected 44 with 7 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Thunder made 13 of 15 tries for a percentage of 86.7%. Oklahoma City finished with a 46.1% FG percentage (41 out of 89) and converted 16 of their 41 shots from downtown.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a player who was a major factor in the matchup. He scored 20 points on 6 of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 33 mins and also pulled down 2 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up going 54.5% from the floor and distributed 4 assists.

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Oklahoma City will play this game with a record of 35-7 for the season. They are turning it over 12.3 times per contest and as a group they commit 20.4 fouls per contest. As a team, Oklahoma City is collecting 43.9 boards per game and has earned 1,078 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 13th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Thunder are connecting on 35.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (554 of 1,554) and 82.9% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 121.1 pts per game (2nd in the league) while connecting on 48.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Thunder are forcing their opponents into 18.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.3 personal fouls. They are giving up 37.4% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 1st in the NBA in PPG allowed (107.7). The Thunder defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 43.4% (1,588 of 3,663) and they concede 45.0 boards per game as a basketball team. They are currently ranked 6th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,026 conceded for the campaign.

When they last stepped on the court, the Cavaliers went home victorious with a score of 133-107 when they faced the 76ers. Concerning how they attacked the glass, Cleveland permitted Philadelphia to collect 42 in total (11 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 27.9% from three-point range by going 12 of 43 and finished the game at 23 of 26 at the free throw line (88.5%). The Cavaliers allowed the 76ers to convert 36 of their 89 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 40.4% in this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Cavaliers went 50 for 95 from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.6%. In regard to 3-point attempts, Cleveland made 20 of 46 attempts (43.5%). They were able to make 13 of them for a rate of 72.2%. The 76ers earned 15 fouls for the game which took the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for 18 shots. They turned it over 16 times, while getting 6 steals in this game. The Cavaliers pulled down 40 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 52 for the game.

Donovan Mitchell ended up being important for the Cavaliers in this matchup. He converted 11 out of 22 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and added 7 rebounds. Mitchell totaled 35 points in his 33 minutes of playing time and accounted for 9 assists for the matchup.

Cleveland has a mark of 23-19 this year. As an offense, the Cavaliers are shooting 47.2% from the floor, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Cleveland has tallied 5,043 points on the season (120.1 per game) and they snag 44.4 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 28.6 times per contest (6th in the league) and they turn it over 14.2 times per game. The Cavaliers commit 20.7 fouls every game and they connect on 78.2% from the charity stripe.

The Cleveland defense concedes 38.3% on shots from distance (592 of 1,544) and opponents are knocking down 80.1% of their free throw shots. They have given up 27.3 dimes and 44.9 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 20th and 18th in the league. The Cavaliers on defense are ranked 21st in the league in points given up per game with 117.5. They are able to force 16.0 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.6% from the floor (12th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland

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