Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 1/29/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Thursday, January 29, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Prime Video

The Minnesota Timberwolves (28-19) will compete against the Oklahoma City Thunder (37-10) at Target Center on Thursday.

The Thunder faced the Raptors and went home with a loss by a final score of 103-101 in their last game. Oklahoma City finished the contest with a 44.0% field goal percentage (33 out of 75) and buried 11 out of their 43 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Thunder converted 24 of their 31 tries for a percentage of 77.4%. In regard to rebounding, they earned a total of 37 with 5 of them being offensive. They also doled out 21 dimes for the contest as well as forcing 11 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In reference to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to go 43.0% from the floor on 37 of 86 shooting. Toronto distributed 28 assists and had 10 steals for the game. Additionally, Toronto grabbed 51 rebounds (12 offensive, 39 defensive) and had 5 blocked shots. Toronto finished the game at 65.4% from the charity stripe by knocking down 17 of 26 attempts. They knocked down 12 of 34 attempts from beyond the arc. With respect to personal fouls, the Thunder ended up finishing with 17 while the Raptors had 22 personal fouls.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a guy who was a factor for the game. He accounted for 24 points on 8 out of 11 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 35 minutes and also snagged 3 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up shooting 72.7% from the floor and also totaled 6 assists.

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Oklahoma City comes into this contest with a mark of 37-10 for the season. They currently have an average of 120.8 points per contest (1st in the league) while shooting 49.2% from the field. The Thunder are hitting 35.9% from downtown (622 of 1,735) and 82.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Oklahoma City is grabbing 43.6 boards per contest and is sitting with 1,196 assists on the year, which ranks 14th in the NBA in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.1 times per game and as a basketball team they commit 20.2 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Thunder are forcing their opponents into 17.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.3 fouls. They surrender 37.3% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 1st in the NBA in PPG allowed (107.9). The Thunder are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.2% (1,785 of 4,128) and they relinquish 45.4 boards per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 6th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,168 relinquished for the season.

The last time they took the court, the Timberwolves walked away with a victory by a final of 108-83 against the Warriors. In relation to rebounding, Minnesota permitted Golden State to get 45 in total (11 offensive). They went 23.1% from 3-point land by hitting 9 out of 39 and finished the game at 8 out of 13 from the free throw line (61.5%). The Timberwolves allowed the Warriors to knock down 33 of their 95 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 34.7% in this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Timberwolves shot 37 for 81 from the field which had them shooting 45.7%. In reference to shots from distance, Minnesota made 14 out of 35 attempts (40.0%). They were able to make 20 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 76.9%. The Warriors were called for 19 fouls for this game which took the Timberwolves to the free throw line for a total of 26 shots. They also turned it over 22 times, while recording 12 steals for this contest. The Timberwolves corralled 47 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 56 in this matchup.

Julius Randle ended up being a factor for the Timberwolves in the game. He knocked down 7 out of 15 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 46.7%, and added 7 rebounds. Randle tallied 18 points in his 23 mins of playing time and had 2 dimes in the matchup.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 28-19 on the campaign. The Timberwolves are committing 21.3 fouls every game and they connect on 75.0% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 26.7 times per contest (12th in basketball) and they are giving up possession 14.5 times per game. Minnesota has accounted for 5,592 points so far this season (119.0 per game) and they pull in 45.1 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Timberwolves are connecting on 48.1% from the floor, which ranks them 5th in the NBA.

The Timberwolves are ranked 11th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 114.3. They have forced 14.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (5th in the league). The Minnesota defense allows 35.4% on shots from 3-point land (588 of 1,661) and their opponents are connecting on 77.6% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 26.0 dimes and 43.2 boards per contest, which is ranked 10th and 9th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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