Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks Prediction, 3/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs New York Knicks

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-15) are headed to Madison Square Garden on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the New York Knicks (39-22).

The Thunder took the court against the Mavericks and earned the victory with a final of 100-87 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Thunder ended up with 17 and the Mavericks racked up 18 fouls. They buried 9 of their 31 attempts from beyond the arc. Dallas ended up going 75.0% from the charity stripe by making 12 of their 16 shots. Furthermore, Dallas snagged 49 rebounds (9 offensive, 40 defensive) and got 8 blocks. Dallas distributed 20 assists and had 6 steals for this game. Concerning defense, Oklahoma City let their opponent shoot 38.8% from the floor on 33 out of 85 shooting. They also recorded 22 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When talking about hauling in boards, they collected 46 with 7 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Thunder buried 10 of 15 shots for a percentage of 66.7%. Oklahoma City finished the game having earned a 44.6% FG percentage (41 out of 92) and made 8 out of their 39 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a guy who was important in this game. He notched 30 points on 12 of 20 shooting. He was on the court for 33 minutes and also collected 4 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander finished the contest at 60.0% from the floor and distributed 5 dimes.

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Oklahoma City will play this contest with a mark of 47-15 this season. They average 119.2 pts per contest (4th in the NBA) on 48.3% from the field. The Thunder are connecting on 36.2% on 3-point shots (842 of 2,323) and 82.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Oklahoma City is pulling in 43.9 rebounds per game and is sitting with 1,587 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 15th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 12.7 times per game and as a team are committing 19.3 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Thunder are forcing their opponents into 17.1 turnovers every game and they draw 21.0 fouls. They give up 36.7% on three-point shots while they are 2nd in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (107.9). The Thunder defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.6% (2,386 of 5,472) and they concede 45.4 boards per game as a group. They rank 8th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,549 relinquished on the season.

For their last game, the Knicks walked away with a victory by a final of 114-89 when they faced the Spurs. The Knicks corralled 36 defensive boards and 18 offensive boards for a total of 54 in this game. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while earning 13 steals for the matchup. The Spurs committed 21 fouls in this game which got the Knicks to the free throw line for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to convert 11 of those for a rate of 57.9%. In relation to shooting from downtown, New York buried 17 out of 48 attempts (35.4%). When this game wrapped up, the Knicks shot 43 for 97 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.3%. The Knicks allowed the Spurs to bury 32 of 77 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.6% for the matchup. They finished 26.5% from distance by shooting 9 out of 34 and walked away from this one shooting 16 of 22 from the free throw line (72.7%). With respect to cleaning the glass, New York permitted San Antonio to grab 41 in all (10 on the offensive side).

Mikal Bridges was important for the Knicks in this contest. Bridges earned 25 points in his 33 minutes on the court and had 2 dimes for the matchup. He converted 10 out of 17 in this contest for a rate of 58.8%, and accounted for 5 rebounds.

New York has a record of 39-22 for the campaign. As an offensive team, the Knicks are hitting on 47.1% from the field, which ranks 13th in the NBA. New York has accounted for 7,150 pts for the year (117.2 per contest) and they collect 46.0 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 27.1 times per contest (10th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 13.6 times per game. The Knicks have committed 20.4 fouls per contest and they hit 78.4% from the free throw line.

The Knicks on the defensive end are ranked 5th in basketball in points given up per game with 111.1. They have forced 14.4 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.8% from the field (6th in the league). The New York defense concedes 35.7% on three-point shots (838 of 2,346) and opponents are knocking down 77.5% of their foul shots. They relinquish 24.6 dimes and 41.8 total boards per game, which has them ranked 4th and 5th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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