Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 2/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder (39-11) are traveling to Frost Bank Center on Wednesday where they will take on the San Antonio Spurs (33-16).

The Thunder stepped onto the hardwood against the Nuggets and notched a win by a score of 121-111 in their last contest. Concerning fouls, the Thunder finished with 21 and the Nuggets accumulated 20 fouls. They knocked down 16 out of their 35 tries from long range. Denver shot 70.8% at the charity stripe by converting 17 of their 24 attempts. Moreover, Denver pulled down 39 rebounds (8 offensive, 31 defensive) and added 6 blocks. Denver doled out 29 assists and had 9 steals for the game. In the matter of defending, Oklahoma City let their opponent shoot 49.4% from the field on 39 out of 79 shooting. They also doled out 23 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 18 turnovers and having 12 steals. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 39 with 12 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Thunder knocked down 22 of 27 attempts for a rate of 81.5%. Oklahoma City walked away from the contest having earned a 47.1% field goal percentage (40 of 85) and made 19 out of their 48 shots from 3-point land.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a guy who was a major factor for the contest. He accounted for 34 points on 11 out of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 33 minutes played and snagged 5 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up shooting 68.8% from the field and also dished out 13 dimes.

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Oklahoma City steps onto the court with a record of 39-11 on the season. They are turning it over 12.3 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 20.0 fouls per contest. As a unit, Oklahoma City is collecting 43.5 rebounds per game and has 1,271 dimes on the year, which is 18th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Thunder are shooting 35.9% on 3-pointers (665 of 1,852) and 82.6% from the free throw line. They are averaging 120.3 pts per game (1st in basketball) on 48.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Thunder are forcing 17.4 turnovers per game while drawing 21.3 personal fouls. They are giving up 37.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 1st in the NBA in PPG allowed (108.0). The Thunder defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 43.3% (1,903 of 4,395) and they concede 45.5 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 7th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,248 conceded for the year.

The last time they took the court, the Spurs went home victorious with a score of 112-103 against the Magic. Concerning rebounds, San Antonio permitted Orlando to get 34 in total (6 offensive). They went 33.3% from downtown by shooting 10 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 13 out of 15 at the free throw line (86.7%). The Spurs allowed the Magic to knock down 40 out of 91 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.0% in this game. At the conclusion of this game, the Spurs went 41 out of 82 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. Regarding three-point shots, San Antonio made 8 out of 29 tries (27.6%). They were able to knock down 22 of those for a rate of 68.8%. The Magic were called for 19 personal fouls for this contest which took the Spurs to the charity stripe for a total of 32 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while earning 8 steals in this matchup. The Spurs were able to collect 40 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 48 in this game.

Victor Wembanyama was important for the Spurs in this matchup. He buried 7 of 13 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and had 8 rebounds. Wembanyama earned 25 points in his 28 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 2 assists for the game.

San Antonio has a record of 33-16 on the year. The Spurs commit 19.2 fouls per game and they hit 78.6% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 26.0 times per contest (16th in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.7 times per game. San Antonio has 5,728 pts so far this year (116.9 per contest) and they grab 46.1 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Spurs are connecting on 47.3% from the floor, which ranks 12th in basketball.

The San Antonio defense concedes 35.9% on three-point shots (639 of 1,780) and opponents are connecting on 78.1% of their free throw shots. They concede 26.4 dimes and 43.2 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 12th and 10th in the league. The Spurs on defense are ranked 6th in the NBA in points given up per game with 111.9. They are able to force 13.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.6% from the floor (4th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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