Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 5/22/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Friday, May 22, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (+1.5)

The San Antonio Spurs (62-20) are hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18) at Frost Bank Center on Friday in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. The series is tied 1-1. Oklahoma City opens this matchup as 1.5-point underdogs. The betting total comes in at 217.5.

The Thunder went home with a win by a final score of 122-113 in Game 2. Oklahoma City finished the contest with a 47.9% FG percentage (45 out of 94) and converted 13 out of their 36 3-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Thunder buried 19 of 24 attempts for a percentage of 79.2%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 41 with 17 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 34 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 21 turnovers and earning 14 steals. In relation to defending, Oklahoma City allowed 48.8% from the field on 41 of 84 shooting. San Antonio distributed 22 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. Moreover, San Antonio grabbed 45 rebounds (16 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 3 rejections. San Antonio finished the contest at 88.2% at the charity stripe by making 15 of 17 attempts. They also converted 16 out of their 40 tries from long range. When discussing fouls, the Thunder finished with 21 and the Spurs finished the game with 21 fouls.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one player who was a major factor for this game. He scored 30 points on 12 out of 24 shooting. He played 38 mins played and also collected 4 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander finished the game at 50.0% from the field and dished out 9 assists.

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Oklahoma City comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 64-18 so far this year. They are turning it over 12.6 times per game and as a team they commit 19.0 fouls per contest. As a unit, Oklahoma City is collecting 44.1 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 2,113 dimes for the season, which is 19th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Thunder are shooting 36.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,135 of 3,111) and 81.7% from the free throw line. They have an average of 119.0 pts per contest (5th in basketball) while connecting on 48.4% from the floor.

On defense, the Thunder are able to force 16.7 turnovers per game and they draw 20.4 personal fouls. They currently rank 5th in the league in giving up assists with 2,046 surrendered so far this season. The Thunder defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 43.7% (3,170 of 7,247) and they surrender 45.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They give up 36.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 2nd in basketball in opponents PPG (107.9).

San Antonio never really put up serious run in the 2nd half of Game 2. When it comes to team rebounding, San Antonio permitted Oklahoma City to grab 41 in total (17 offensive). They went 36.1% from beyond the perimeter by going 13 of 36 and finished the contest at 19 out of 24 at the free throw line (79.2%). The Spurs allowed the Thunder to convert 45 of their 94 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.9% in this contest. At the conclusion of this game, the Spurs finished 41 for 84 from the field which had them at 48.8%. In the matter of shots from distance, San Antonio buried 16 of their 40 attempts (40.0%). They were able to bury 15 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 88.2%. The Thunder were called for 21 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Spurs to the charity stripe for 17 shots. They gave up possession of the ball 21 times, while earning 5 steals for this contest. The Spurs were able to snag 29 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive boards totaling 45 in this game.

Stephon Castle ended up having an impact for the Spurs in this matchup. Castle accumulated 25 points in his 38 minutes on the court and tallied 8 dimes for the contest. He knocked down 10 of 17 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 58.8%, and had 5 rebounds.

San Antonio has a win-loss mark of 62-20 so far this year. The Spurs commit 18.9 fouls per game and they hit 78.7% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 28.1 times per contest (9th in the league) and they turn it over 13.5 times per contest. San Antonio has scored 9,826 points on the season (119.8 per contest) and they average 47.0 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Spurs are hitting on 48.3% from the field, which is 6th in basketball.

The San Antonio defense allows 35.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,066 of 3,028) and their opponents are converting on 79.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 26.2 dimes and 42.6 rebounds every game, which ranks them 12th and 8th in basketball. The Spurs on the defensive side of the court are 8th in the league in PPG surrendered with 111.5. They are able to force 13.0 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 45.1% from the floor (4th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (+1.5)

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