Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 5/24/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (+2.5)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18) are on their way to Frost Bank Center on Sunday where they will play the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) in Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. OKC leads 2-1. Oklahoma City opens this game as 2.5-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 218.5.

The Thunder took back home court advantage with a 123-108 win in Game 3. In regard to fouls, the Thunder ended up finishing with 25 while the Spurs recorded 28 fouls. They also buried 13 of 41 attempts from 3-point land. San Antonio shot 81.8% when shooting free throws by making 27 of their 33 attempts. Furthermore, San Antonio grabbed 37 boards (9 offensive, 28 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. San Antonio recorded 26 assists and had 8 steals for this game. Concerning defense, Oklahoma City allowed their opponent to shoot 42.5% from the field on 34 of 80 shooting. They also dished out 29 assists for the contest while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When discussing grabbing rebounds, they earned 41 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Thunder converted 28 of their 33 attempts for a percentage of 84.8%. Oklahoma City ended the game having earned a 48.1% field goal percentage (39 out of 81) and converted 17 of their 38 shots from beyond the arc.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a guy who was a contributor in this contest. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up shooting 35.3% from the floor and also distributed 12 assists. He was on the court for 36 mins and pulled down 2 boards. He scored 26 points on 6 of 17 shooting.

Get all of our NBA Picks Tonight

Oklahoma City will enter this game with a win-loss mark of 64-18 on the year. They are averaging 119.0 points per contest (5th in basketball) while connecting on 48.4% from the field. The Thunder are hitting 36.5% on shots from 3-point land (1,135 of 3,111) and 81.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Oklahoma City is collecting 44.1 rebounds per game and has earned 2,113 dimes this season, which is 19th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 12.6 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 19.0 fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Thunder are forcing their opponents into 16.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.4 fouls. They are surrendering 36.9% from 3-point land and they are 2nd in the league in opponents PPG (107.9). The Thunder defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.7% (3,170 of 7,247) and they concede 45.2 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 5th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,046 relinquished for the year.

After taking an early 15-point lead in Game 3, San Antonio got completely outplayed on both ends of the court the rest of the way. The Spurs corralled 28 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 37 for the game. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while earning 8 steals for the matchup. The Thunder were called for 25 personal fouls for the game which took the Spurs to the free throw line for a total of 33 tries. They were able to make 27 of those for a rate of 81.8%. When talking about shots from beyond the perimeter, San Antonio made 13 of their 41 tries (31.7%). When all was said and done, the Spurs shot 34 for 80 from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.5%. The Spurs permitted the Thunder to make 39 out of their 81 attempts from the field which left them shooting 48.1% for the contest. They finished 44.7% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 17 of 38 and ended up shooting 28 of 33 from the charity stripe (84.8%). When it comes to how they rebounded, San Antonio allowed Oklahoma City to get 41 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

Victor Wembanyama pitched in for the Spurs for the contest. Wembanyama had 26 points in his 39 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 assists in this contest. He made 8 of 15 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 53.3%, and earned 4 rebounds.

San Antonio has a win-loss record of 62-20 this season. The Spurs have committed 18.9 fouls every game and they go 78.7% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 28.1 times per game (9th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.5 times per game. San Antonio has tallied 9,826 pts on the campaign (119.8 per game) and they pull down 47.0 rebounds per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Spurs are shooting 48.3% from the field, which ranks 6th in the league.

The Spurs defensively are ranked 8th in the NBA in PPG given up with 111.5. They are able to force 13.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 45.1% from the floor (4th in the NBA). The San Antonio defense allows 35.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,066 of 3,028) and their opponents are connecting on 79.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 26.2 dimes and 42.6 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 12th and 8th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Antonio (-2.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.