Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 3/16/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Monday, March 16, 2026

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: Peacock

The Orlando Magic (38-28) are traveling to State Farm Arena on Monday where they will take on the Atlanta Hawks (36-31).

The Magic stepped onto the hardwood against the Heat and notched a win by a score of 121-117 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Magic ended up with 23 while the Heat finished the game with 21 personal fouls. They knocked down 12 out of their 38 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Miami walked away from this one shooting 82.1% when shooting free throws by knocking down 23 of 28 attempts. Moreover, Miami collected 32 rebounds (7 offensive, 25 defensive) and had 2 blocks. Miami earned 25 dimes and had 13 steals for this game. When talking about defense, Orlando allowed their opponent to shoot 46.6% from the floor on 41 out of 88 shooting. They also dished out 26 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and getting 6 steals. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they compiled 49 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Magic buried 23 of their 25 shots for a percentage of 92.0%. Orlando finished the game with a 49.4% FG percentage (44 out of 89) and buried 10 of 32 shots from beyond the arc.

Paolo Banchero is one player who came through in this matchup. He had 27 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 37 mins and totaled 8 rebounds. Banchero finished shooting 57.1% from the floor and also earned 7 assists.

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Orlando comes into this one with a win-loss record of 38-28 for the season. They average 115.7 points per outing (14th in the league) while shooting 46.5% from the field. The Magic are connecting on 34.6% on shots beyond the perimeter (772 of 2,234) and 79.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, Orlando is grabbing 43.8 boards per game and has tallied 1,756 dimes so far this year, which is 15th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 13.7 times per contest and as a group they are committing 20.9 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Magic are forcing 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 21.6 fouls. They concede 34.8% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 11th in the league in PPG from their opponents (114.1). The Magic defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 47.4% (2,742 of 5,788) and they relinquish 43.6 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They currently rank 5th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,648 surrendered for the season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Hawks walked away with a victory by a final of 122-99 against the Bucks. The Hawks corralled 32 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards totaling 47 for the contest. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while recording 10 steals in the matchup. The Bucks earned 18 fouls for the contest which took the Hawks to the charity stripe for 18 tries. They were able to bury 14 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 77.8%. In relation to shots from beyond the arc, Atlanta made 14 of their 38 tries (36.8%). When all was said and done, the Hawks finished the game shooting 47 out of 95 from the floor which gave them a rate of 49.5%. The Hawks allowed the Bucks to make 37 out of 76 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 48.7% in this matchup. They went 32.4% from 3-point land by going 12 of 37 and finished the game at 13 out of 18 from the free throw line (72.2%). In relation to cleaning the glass, Atlanta allowed Milwaukee to collect 37 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

CJ McCollum pitched in for the Hawks in this game. McCollum recorded 30 points in his 27 mins on the court and accumulated 2 assists in the matchup. He buried 10 of 18 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 55.6%, and added 3 rebounds.

Atlanta has a mark of 36-31 for the year. When it comes to offensive execution, the Hawks are hitting on 47.2% from the floor, which is ranked 13th in basketball. Atlanta has earned 7,888 pts for the campaign (117.7 per contest) and they pull in 43.4 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 30.3 times per game (1st in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per contest. The Hawks commit 19.6 personal fouls every game and they connect on 77.4% from the charity stripe.

The Atlanta defense gives up 35.6% on three-point shots (876 of 2,460) and opponents are converting on 79.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 26.8 dimes and 46.0 rebounds per game, which is ranked 15th and 26th in the NBA. The Hawks are ranked 20th in the league in PPG given up with 116.6. They are able to force 16.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.4% from the floor (19th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Orlando

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