Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks Prediction, 5/4/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks

Date: Monday, May 4, 2026

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+7.5)

The New York Knicks (53-29) will try to defeat the Philadelphia 76ers (45-37) at Madison Square Garden on Monday in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. New York opens this matchup as 7.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 212.5.

The 76ers closed out the Celtics and took home the win by a score of 109-100 in Game 7 of their series. Philadelphia wrapped up the game having earned a 47.6% field goal percentage (39 out of 82) and knocked down 11 of their 28 3-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the 76ers converted 20 of 23 tries for a rate of 87.0%. With regard to rebounding, they earned 44 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 25 assists as well as forcing the other team into 5 turnovers, but finished the game with no steals. When talking about defending, Philadelphia allowed the other team to go 39.8% from the floor on 37 out of 93 shooting. Boston doled out 19 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. Additionally, Boston grabbed 44 rebounds (10 offensive, 34 defensive) and had 1 block. Boston finished 81.3% when shooting free throws by making 13 of their 16 attempts. They made 13 of their 49 tries from 3-point range. With respect to personal fouls, the 76ers ended up finishing with 19 and the Celtics had 23 personal fouls.

Joel Embiid is one guy who came through in this matchup. He walked away with 34 points on 12 out of 26 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 minutes played and also snagged 12 boards. Embiid ended up shooting 46.2% from the field and also dished out 6 assists.

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Philadelphia enters this matchup with a mark of 45-37 for the season. They currently have an average of 115.9 points per game (14th in the league) while shooting 46.2% from the field. The 76ers are hitting 34.9% on shots from downtown (1,011 of 2,896) and 80.9% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Philadelphia is pulling down 43.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,017 dimes on the year, which is 29th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They cough up possession 13.6 times per game and as a team they are committing 20.3 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the 76ers have forced 15.4 turnovers per game while drawing 19.9 personal fouls. They are ranked 22nd in the NBA in giving up assists with 2,260 relinquished this season. The 76ers are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.7% (3,430 of 7,348) and they relinquish 45.3 rebounds per game as a unit. They concede 35.3% on shots from distance and they rank 19th in basketball in points per game from their opponents (116.1).

The Knicks closed out the Hawks by a final of 140-89 when they took the court last. The Knicks were able to corral 37 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards for a total of 46 for this contest. They also turned it over 10 times, while earning 16 steals for this game. The Hawks committed 22 fouls in the matchup which took the Knicks to the charity stripe for a total of 34 attempts. They were able to make 27 of them for a rate of 79.4%. With respect to 3-point shots, New York made 13 of their 36 tries (36.1%). Overall, the Knicks ended up shooting 50 out of 85 from the floor which gave them a rate of 58.8%. The Knicks permitted the Hawks to make 31 of 82 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 37.8% for the contest. They finished 25.7% from three-point range by shooting 9 out of 35 and finished the game at 18 of 23 from the free throw line (78.3%). In relation to rebounds, New York permitted Atlanta to collect 35 in total (11 on the offensive glass).

OG Anunoby ended up being a factor for the Knicks for the contest. Anunoby accumulated 29 points in his 27 mins on the court and had 2 dimes in this contest. He converted 11 out of 14 in this contest for a rate of 78.6%, and had 7 rebounds.

New York has a win-loss mark of 53-29 for the year. The Knicks are responsible for committing 20.0 fouls per game while shooting 79.2% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 27.4 times per contest (13th in the league) and they turn the ball over 13.6 times per contest. New York has tallied 9,549 points for the season (116.5 per game) and they average 45.6 rebounds per contest. As an offensive team, the Knicks are hitting on 47.8% from the field, which has them ranked 11th in the NBA.

The Knicks on the defensive side of the court are 5th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 110.1. They are forcing 14.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the field (5th in the NBA). The New York defense concedes 36.2% on 3-point attempts (1,138 of 3,145) and opponents are connecting on 77.8% of their free throw shots. They surrender 25.0 assists and 40.5 total boards per game, ranking them 6th and 4th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+7.5)

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