Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 4/19/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Sunday, April 19, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+13.0)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18) will play the Phoenix Suns (45-37) at Paycom Center on Sunday in Game 1 of their Western Conference 1st round series. Phoenix opens this contest as 13.0-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total is set at 215.

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Phoenix steps onto the court with a win-loss record of 45-37 this year. They are giving up possession 14.5 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 20.6 fouls per game. As a team, Phoenix is grabbing 43.1 boards per game and has earned 2,021 dimes on the season, which ranks 28th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Suns are connecting on 36.1% on shots from distance (1,210 of 3,348) and 78.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 112.6 pts per contest (26th in the NBA) while hitting 45.5% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Suns are forcing their opponents into 16.3 turnovers per game and they draw 18.9 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 7th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,058 relinquished so far this year. The Suns defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.0% (3,296 of 7,011) and they surrender 43.7 rebounds per contest as a group. They are giving up 34.7% on 3-point shots and they are 6th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (111.1).

The last time they took the court, the Thunder walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 135-103 against the Suns. In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Oklahoma City permitted Phoenix to grab 54 in all (13 offensive). They finished 48.8% from three-point range via 20 of 41 and finished the game at 3 out of 6 from the charity stripe (50.0%). The Thunder allowed the Suns to convert 56 of their 101 tries from the floor which had them shooting 55.4% in the game. Overall, the Thunder ended up going 41 out of 95 from the floor which had them shooting 43.2%. Pertaining to 3-point shots, Oklahoma City made 18 of 46 attempts (39.1%). They were able to knock down 3 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 33.3%. The Suns committed 9 personal fouls for the contest which took the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 9 attempts. They turned the ball over 10 times, while getting 9 steals for the matchup. The Thunder pulled down 27 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for this contest.

Branden Carlson ended up being a factor for the Thunder for the contest. He knocked down 10 of 20 in this matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 10 rebounds. Carlson had 26 points in his 42 mins of playing time and had 1 assist in this contest.

Oklahoma City has a win-loss record of 64-18 on the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Thunder are shooting 48.4% from the field, which ranks 5th in the NBA. Oklahoma City has earned 9,760 pts on the campaign (119.0 per contest) and they average 44.1 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 25.8 times per contest (19th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.6 times per game. The Thunder are committing 19.0 fouls every game while shooting 81.7% from the free throw line.

The Oklahoma City defense allows 36.9% on 3-point attempts (1,176 of 3,189) and their opponents are connecting on 74.0% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 25.0 assists and 45.2 boards per game, ranking them 5th and 20th in the NBA. The Thunder on the defensive end are ranked 2nd in basketball in points allowed per contest with 107.9. They are forcing 16.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 43.7% from the field (1st in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-13.0)

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