Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 4/28/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Location: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (+11.5)

Frost Bank Center is the site where the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) will try to defeat the Portland Trail Blazers (42-40) on Tuesday in Game 5 of their 1st round series. The Spurs lead 3-1. Portland opens this contest as 11.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 215.

The Trail Blazers went home with a loss by a final score of 114-93 in Game 4. In the matter of personal fouls, the Trail Blazers ended up finishing with 20 while the Spurs accumulated 21 personal fouls. They knocked down 14 out of their 33 shots from downtown. San Antonio finished 82.4% when shooting free throws by knocking down 14 of their 17 attempts. In addition, San Antonio snagged 40 rebounds (9 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 5 rejections. San Antonio recorded 26 dimes and had 12 steals for the game. In the matter of the defense, Portland let their opponent shoot 49.4% from the field on 43 of 87 shooting. They also recorded 14 dimes in the game as well as forcing 13 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In terms of getting rebounds, they earned 39 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Trail Blazers buried 19 of 23 shots for a rate of 82.6%. Portland walked away from the game with a 40.0% FG percentage (32 of 80) and made 10 of 31 3-point shots.

Deni Avdija is a guy who came through in the game. He scored 26 points on 8 out of 14 shooting. He was on the court for 37 minutes played and also pulled down 7 boards. Avdija finished shooting 57.1% from the floor and earned 3 dimes.

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Portland comes into this matchup with a mark of 42-40 for the campaign. They are giving up possession 17.3 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.9 fouls per contest. As a unit, Portland is pulling down 46.0 boards per game and has earned 2,062 assists for the year, which has them ranked 23rd in the NBA in terms of passing. The Trail Blazers are connecting on 34.3% on shots from beyond the arc (1,186 of 3,462) and 76.5% from the free throw line. They average 115.5 pts per game (17th in basketball) while going 45.3% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Trail Blazers are forcing 15.6 turnovers every game and they draw 22.0 fouls. They currently rank 13th in the league in giving up assists with 2,162 surrendered on the campaign. The Trail Blazers defense is giving up a FG percentage of 47.1% (3,446 of 7,323) and they concede 43.0 boards per game as a squad. They give up 35.8% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 16th in basketball in PPG allowed (115.8).

The Spurs completely dominated the 2nd half of Game 4 to take a decisive series lead. When it comes to how they rebounded, San Antonio permitted Portland to collect 39 in total (7 offensive). They shot 32.3% from downtown by connecting on 10 of 31 and finished the contest at 19 of 23 from the free throw line (82.6%). The Spurs allowed the Trail Blazers to make 32 of 80 attempts from the floor which had them at 40.0% for the game. When all was said and done, the Spurs shot 43 out of 87 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 49.4%. In regard to shots from downtown, San Antonio converted 14 of 33 attempts (42.4%). They were able to bury 14 of the free throw tries for a clip of 82.4%. The Trail Blazers earned 20 personal fouls for the contest which got the Spurs to the free throw line for 17 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while getting 12 steals in this game. The Spurs recorded 31 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 40 in this game.

De'Aaron Fox ended up being a major contributor for the Spurs for this contest. He knocked down 11 out of 17 in the matchup giving him a rate of 64.7%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Fox totaled 28 points in his 39 minutes of playing time and had 7 assists for the matchup.

San Antonio has a mark of 62-20 this season. The Spurs commit 18.9 personal fouls per game and they shoot 78.7% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 28.1 times per contest (9th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 13.5 times per game. San Antonio has accumulated 9,826 points on the year (119.8 per contest) and they collect 47.0 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Spurs are shooting 48.3% from the floor, which has them ranked 6th in the league.

The Spurs are ranked 8th in the league in PPG surrendered with 111.5. They are forcing 13.0 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.1% from the floor (4th in the NBA). The San Antonio defense gives up 35.2% on shots from distance (1,066 of 3,028) and opponents are converting on 79.0% of their foul shots. They allow 26.2 dimes and 42.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 12th and 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Portland (+11.5)

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