San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 2/5/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, February 5, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

American Airlines Center is the site where the Dallas Mavericks (19-30) will take on the San Antonio Spurs (33-16) on Thursday.

The Spurs faced the Magic and took home the win by a score of 112-103 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Spurs ended up finishing with 22 while the Magic finished the game with 19 personal fouls. They also converted 10 out of their 30 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Orlando went 86.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 13 of their 15 tries. Furthermore, Orlando snagged 34 rebounds (6 offensive, 28 defensive) and got 6 blocks. Orlando recorded 24 assists and had 11 steals for this contest. When discussing defense, San Antonio allowed the other team to shoot 44.0% from the floor on 40 of 91 shooting. They also distributed 27 assists for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Concerning rebounding, they compiled 48 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Spurs converted 22 of their 32 tries for a percentage of 68.8%. San Antonio wrapped up the contest with a 50.0% field goal percentage (41 out of 82) and knocked down 8 out of their 29 3-point attempts.

Victor Wembanyama is someone who had an impact for the contest. He ended up finishing with 25 points on 7 of 13 shooting. He played 28 minutes played and also pulled down 8 rebounds. Wembanyama ended up shooting 53.8% from the floor and recorded 2 assists.

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San Antonio will play this contest with a win-loss record of 33-16 on the year. They are averaging 116.9 points per game (12th in basketball) while connecting on 47.3% from the field. The Spurs are shooting 34.6% on shots from distance (633 of 1,828) and 78.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, San Antonio is pulling in 46.1 boards per contest and has totaled 1,273 assists on the season, which ranks 16th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 13.7 times per game and as a team they commit 19.2 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Spurs are able to force 13.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.0 personal fouls. They are ranked 13th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,292 relinquished for the campaign. The Spurs defense is giving up a FG percentage of 45.6% (2,013 of 4,412) and they surrender 43.2 boards per game as a squad. They relinquish 35.9% on shots from distance while they are 6th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (111.9).

In their last game, the Mavericks walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 111-107 when they faced the Rockets. In relation to cleaning the glass, Dallas permitted Houston to grab 53 in total (18 offensive). They finished 38.5% from beyond the arc by going 10 out of 26 and ended up going 11 out of 15 at the free throw line (73.3%). The Mavericks permitted the Rockets to convert 45 out of 108 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 41.7% for the game. At the conclusion of this game, the Mavericks went 41 for 92 from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.6%. Pertaining to three-point shots, Dallas converted 10 of 23 tries (43.5%). They were able to make 15 of those for a rate of 57.7%. The Rockets earned 20 personal fouls for this game which got the Mavericks to the free throw line for a total of 26 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while recording 3 steals for this contest. The Mavericks collected 37 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 48 in this contest.

Cooper Flagg ended up having an impact for the Mavericks in this matchup. Flagg earned 34 points in his 39 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 5 dimes for this contest. He made 13 out of 25 for the game for a rate of 52.0%, and accounted for 12 rebounds.

Dallas has a record of 19-30 for the season. As an offensive team, the Mavericks are shooting 47.2% from the field, which is ranked 13th in the league. Dallas has accumulated 5,590 points so far this year (114.1 per game) and they pull down 45.1 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 25.2 times per contest (20th in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.1 times per game. The Mavericks commit 18.8 fouls every game and they go 74.5% from the free throw line.

The Dallas defense surrenders 33.6% on shots from distance (585 of 1,743) and opponents are making 77.9% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 26.8 dimes and 46.9 boards per game, which is ranked 15th and 27th in the NBA. The Mavericks are ranked 20th in basketball in points allowed per game with 116.6. They are forcing 13.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.1% from the field (9th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas

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