San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 2/11/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

The Golden State Warriors (29-25) will play the San Antonio Spurs (36-16) at Chase Center on Wednesday.

The Spurs played the Mavericks and walked away with a win by a score of 138-125 in their last game. When it comes to personal fouls, the Spurs ended up with 17 and the Mavericks finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They knocked down 15 out of their 37 shots from three-point range. Dallas finished the game at 75.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 18 of 24 attempts. Moreover, Dallas collected 41 boards (12 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 11 blocked shots. Dallas recorded 35 dimes and had 10 steals in this matchup. Concerning defense, San Antonio allowed 43.8% from the field on 46 out of 105 shooting. They also dished out 34 assists in the matchup while creating 7 turnovers and getting 5 steals. With regard to hauling in boards, they compiled a total of 52 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the free throw line, the Spurs converted 14 of 20 tries for a rate of 70.0%. San Antonio ended the game with a 55.6% field goal percentage (55 of 99) and buried 14 of 35 three-point attempts.

Stephon Castle is a guy who was important for the game. Castle ended up going 78.9% from the floor and dished out 12 assists. He played 32 mins and grabbed 12 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 40 points on 15 of 19 shooting.

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San Antonio enters this one with a mark of 36-16 for the year. They lose possession via turnover 13.8 times per game and as a group they are committing 19.0 fouls per contest. As a unit, San Antonio is grabbing 46.6 boards per game and has earned 1,367 dimes on the season, which is 19th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Spurs are shooting 34.8% from downtown (678 of 1,946) and 78.3% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 117.6 points per outing (7th in the league) while going 47.5% from the floor.

On defense, the Spurs are able to force 13.5 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.8 fouls. They surrender 36.1% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 7th in basketball in PPG allowed (112.2). The Spurs are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 45.5% (2,143 of 4,707) and they relinquish 43.1 rebounds per game as a team. They are currently ranked 11th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 1,376 surrendered for the season.

The last time they took the court, the Warriors took a defeat with a final score of 105-99 when they played the Lakers. Regarding cleaning the glass, Golden State allowed Los Angeles to snag 41 in total (5 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 40.7% from downtown by shooting 11 out of 27 and walked away from this one shooting 24 out of 30 at the free throw line (80.0%). The Warriors allowed the Lakers to bury 35 out of their 69 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.7% in the matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Warriors finished shooting 39 out of 92 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.4%. Concerning shooting from downtown, Golden State made 14 out of 51 tries (27.5%). They were able to bury 7 of the free throws for a percentage of 63.6%. The Lakers were called for 14 fouls in this game which got the Warriors to the charity stripe for a total of 11 shots. They turned it over 13 times, while getting 16 steals in the game. The Warriors corralled 27 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 37 for this contest.

Moses Moody was important for the Warriors for the contest. Moody had 25 points in his 39 minutes on the court and earned 2 dimes in the matchup. He converted 8 out of 17 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 47.1%, and accounted for 4 rebounds.

Golden State has a record of 29-25 so far this season. On the offensive side of the court, the Warriors are shooting 46.1% from the field, which has them ranked 24th in the NBA. Golden State has accumulated 6,241 points for the season (115.6 per game) and they pull in 42.6 boards per contest. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 28.7 times per game (5th in the NBA) and they cough up possession 15.7 times per contest. The Warriors are committing 19.8 personal fouls every game and they hit 80.9% from the charity stripe.

The Warriors on the defensive end are ranked 10th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 113.5. They are forcing their opponents into 16.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 47.1% from the field (18th in the NBA). The Golden State defense allows 35.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (680 of 1,920) and opponents are making 79.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 26.6 assists and 44.7 total rebounds per game, which is 14th and 18th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State

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