San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 1/28/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets

Date: Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: ESPN

The San Antonio Spurs (31-15) are on their way to Toyota Center on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Houston Rockets (28-16).

The Spurs stepped onto the hardwood against the Pelicans and took a loss by a final of 104-95 in their last game. San Antonio finished the contest having earned a 39.5% field goal percentage (32 of 81) and made 12 of their 44 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Spurs made 19 of their 32 attempts for a rate of 59.4%. When it comes to rebounding, they collected 46 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 22 assists in this contest while forcing 10 turnovers and earning 2 steals. Regarding defense, San Antonio allowed their opponent to shoot 40.2% from the floor on 41 of 102 shooting. New Orleans doled out 23 assists and had 3 steals for the matchup. Moreover, New Orleans grabbed 58 rebounds (19 offensive, 39 defensive) and earned 5 rejections. New Orleans finished the game shooting 76.5% at the charity stripe by converting 13 of their 17 tries. They also buried 9 of 34 tries from beyond the arc. In reference to personal fouls, the Spurs walked away with 16 and the Pelicans finished the game with 23 personal fouls.

Victor Wembanyama is one guy who was a major contributor for this contest. He recorded 16 points on 6 out of 16 shooting. He played 31 minutes and totaled 16 rebounds. Wembanyama finished the game at 37.5% from the field but wasn't able to get an assist.

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San Antonio will play this contest with a mark of 31-15 for the campaign. They are losing possession via turnover 13.7 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.3 fouls every game. As a team, San Antonio is collecting 46.3 rebounds per game and has accounted for 1,192 dimes for the season, which ranks 16th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Spurs are shooting 34.8% on shots from distance (606 of 1,739) and 78.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 117.4 points per contest (11th in the NBA) while hitting 47.1% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Spurs have forced 13.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 21.2 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 13th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,215 relinquished on the year. The Spurs are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 45.8% (1,895 of 4,134) and they surrender 43.1 rebounds per contest as a unit. They surrender 35.9% on shots from distance and they are 7th in the league in PPG allowed (112.4).

For their last game, the Rockets went home victorious with a score of 108-99 when they faced the Grizzlies. The Rockets were able to pull down 41 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 57 for this game. They coughed it up 16 times, while recording 9 steals for the matchup. The Grizzlies were called for 21 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Rockets to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They were able to bury 15 of the free throw tries for a rate of 75.0%. When it comes to shooting from downtown, Houston buried 11 out of 37 attempts (29.7%). When this game wrapped up, the Rockets went 41 for 92 from the field which had them sitting at 44.6%. The Rockets allowed the Grizzlies to knock down 39 of their 105 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.1% in this game. They finished 18.9% from distance via 7 out of 37 and finished the contest at 14 of 17 at the charity stripe (82.4%). Concerning rebounds, Houston permitted Memphis to get 52 in total (21 on the offensive side).

Kevin Durant was important for the Rockets in the game. He made 11 of 24 in the matchup giving him a rate of 45.8%, and totaled 8 rebounds. Durant accumulated 33 points in his 37 mins on the hardwood and tallied 2 dimes in this matchup.

Houston has a win-loss record of 28-16 so far this season. As an offense, the Rockets are shooting 47.8% from the field, which is 7th in the NBA. Houston has accounted for 5,136 pts on the year (116.7 per game) and they pull in 49.0 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 25.0 times per game (24th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 15.6 times per game. The Rockets have committed 18.9 fouls per game and they shoot 75.4% from the charity stripe.

The Houston defense allows 34.7% on shots from behind the 3-point line (541 of 1,560) and opponents are converting on 75.6% of their foul shots. They concede 24.5 dimes and 39.0 total boards per game, which has them ranked 3rd and 1st in the NBA. The Rockets defensively are ranked 4th in the league in PPG given up with 110.5. They have forced 13.5 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.1% from the floor (6th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Antonio

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