San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks Prediction, 6/10/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks

Date: Wednesday, June 10, 2026

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio (+1.5)

Madison Square Garden is the site where the New York Knicks (53-29) will take on the San Antonio Spurs (62-20) on Wednesday in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. New York leads 2-1. San Antonio is 1.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 216.5.

The Spurs earned the victory by a final of 115-111 in Game 3 to win their first game of the series. San Antonio wrapped up the game with a 46.4% field goal percentage (39 of 84) and buried 12 out of their 34 shots from distance. At the free throw line, the Spurs converted 25 of 32 shots for a rate of 78.1%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 37 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 28 dimes for the game as well as forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 7 steals. In the matter of defense, San Antonio allowed their opponent to shoot 45.5% from the floor on 40 of 88 shooting. New York totaled 18 assists and had 4 steals in this contest. Moreover, New York grabbed 46 rebounds (12 offensive, 34 defensive) and earned 7 blocks. New York went 81.8% from the free throw line by making 18 of their 22 attempts. They also made 13 out of their 37 shots from 3-point land. In reference to personal fouls, the Spurs ended up with 21 while the Knicks totaled 23 personal fouls.

Victor Wembanyama is a guy who came through for the contest. Wembanyama finished the contest at 61.1% from the field and recorded 6 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 39 minutes and also snagged 8 boards. He accounted for 32 points on 11 out of 18 shooting.

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San Antonio will enter this game with a mark of 62-20 on the season. They are giving up possession 13.5 times per game and as a unit they are committing 18.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, San Antonio is pulling in 47.0 boards per contest and is sitting with 2,302 dimes for the campaign, which is 9th in the league in terms of passing. The Spurs are shooting 35.9% on 3-point shots (1,116 of 3,108) and 78.7% from the free throw line. They average 119.8 pts per game (3rd in the NBA) while hitting 48.3% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Spurs are able to force 13.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.2 fouls. They rank 12th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,148 relinquished on the season. The Spurs defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.1% (3,366 of 7,469) and they surrender 42.6 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are conceding 35.2% from beyond the arc and they are 8th in the league in points per game allowed (111.5).

New York wasn't able to hold onto their 2nd half lead in Game 3, and now it makes Game 4 crucial to not lose homecourt advantage. When it comes to rebounding, New York allowed San Antonio to collect 37 overall (6 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 35.3% from 3-point land by hitting 12 of 34 and ended up going 25 of 32 at the free throw line (78.1%). The Knicks allowed the Spurs to make 39 out of their 84 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.4% in this contest. When all was said and done, the Knicks went 40 for 88 from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.5%. Pertaining to shots from 3-point land, New York converted 13 of their 37 attempts (35.1%). They were able to knock down 18 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 81.8%. The Spurs earned 21 personal fouls in this contest which got the Knicks to the free throw line for 22 attempts. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while recording 4 steals for this contest. The Knicks recorded 34 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards totaling 46 for the matchup.

Jalen Brunson ended up having an impact for the Knicks for this contest. He made 11 of 25 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 44.0%, and tallied 5 rebounds. Brunson had 32 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and totaled 5 dimes in the matchup.

New York has a mark of 53-29 so far this season. The Knicks are responsible for committing 20.0 personal fouls per game and they connect on 79.2% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 27.4 times per game (13th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.6 times per game. New York has scored 9,549 points on the season (116.5 per contest) and they average 45.6 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Knicks are shooting 47.8% from the floor, which is ranked 11th in the league.

The New York defense allows 36.2% from downtown (1,138 of 3,145) and opponents are making 77.8% of their foul shots. They give up 25.0 dimes and 40.5 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 6th and 4th in basketball. The Knicks on the defensive side of the court are 5th in the league in points given up per game with 110.1. They are forcing 14.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the field (5th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Antonio (+1.5)

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