San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, 4/26/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers

Date: Sunday, April 26, 2026

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio (-5.0)

The San Antonio Spurs (62-20) are on their way to Moda Center on Sunday where they will take on the Portland Trail Blazers (42-40) in Game 4 of their 1st round series. The Spurs lead 2-1. San Antonio opens this game as 5.0-point favorites. The over/under is set at 218.

The Spurs took home the win by a score of 120-108 in Game 3. San Antonio wrapped up the contest with a 47.1% field goal percentage (41 out of 87) and knocked down 16 out of their 33 shots from distance. From the charity stripe, the Spurs buried 22 of 28 attempts for a rate of 78.6%. Pertaining to rebounding, they collected a total of 50 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 27 dimes for this game as well as creating 11 turnovers and having 6 steals. Pertaining to the defense, San Antonio allowed the other team to go 41.1% from the floor on 37 of 90 shooting. Portland doled out 21 assists and had 7 steals in this matchup. In addition, Portland grabbed 45 rebounds (16 offensive, 29 defensive) and had 8 blocks. Portland went 69.0% when shooting free throws by converting 20 of their 29 shots. They also converted 14 of their 38 attempts from 3-point land. Regarding fouls, the Spurs ended up with 25 and the Trail Blazers finished the game with 24 fouls.

Stephon Castle is someone who was a major contributor in this contest. He ended up finishing with 33 points on 10 of 18 shooting. He saw the court for 34 mins and also snagged 2 boards. Castle ended up shooting 55.6% from the field and also distributed 5 dimes.

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San Antonio enters this one with a win-loss mark of 62-20 for the campaign. They average 119.8 pts per contest (3rd in the NBA) while connecting on 48.3% from the floor. The Spurs are hitting 35.9% on three-point attempts (1,116 of 3,108) and 78.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, San Antonio is pulling in 47.0 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 2,302 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 9th in the league in terms of passing. They cough up possession 13.5 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.9 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Spurs are forcing 13.0 turnovers per game while drawing 20.2 personal fouls. They are surrendering 35.2% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 8th in the league in PPG from their opponents (111.5). The Spurs defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.1% (3,366 of 7,469) and they surrender 42.6 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 12th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,148 relinquished this year.

The Spurs played really well on both ends of the court in Game 3. With respect to how they rebounded, Portland allowed San Antonio to pull down 50 overall (14 offensive). They went 48.5% from three-point range via 16 of 33 and ended up shooting 22 of 28 from the free throw line (78.6%). The Trail Blazers allowed the Spurs to bury 41 of their 87 attempts from the field which left them shooting 47.1% for the matchup. Overall, the Trail Blazers ended up going 37 out of 90 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.1%. Regarding 3-point shots, Portland made 14 out of their 38 attempts (36.8%). They were able to knock down 20 of the free throw tries for a clip of 69.0%. The Spurs earned 25 personal fouls for this game which took the Trail Blazers to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They turned it over 11 times, while getting 7 steals for the contest. The Trail Blazers snagged 29 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds totaling 45 in this matchup.

Jrue Holiday was important for the Trail Blazers for this contest. He knocked down 12 out of 18 for the matchup giving him a rate of 66.7%, and had 6 rebounds. Holiday totaled 29 points in his 41 minutes on the court and tallied 5 assists for the game.

Portland has a win-loss record of 42-40 on the season. The Trail Blazers are responsible for committing 19.9 personal fouls every game and they go 76.5% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 25.1 times per game (23rd in the NBA) and they are turning it over 17.3 times per contest. Portland has earned 9,469 points this year (115.5 per contest) and they collect 46.0 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Trail Blazers are shooting 45.3% from the floor, which ranks 29th in basketball.

The Portland defense surrenders 35.8% on 3-point attempts (1,027 of 2,869) and their opponents are making 79.0% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 26.4 dimes and 43.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 13th and 11th in the league. The Trail Blazers defensively are ranked 16th in basketball in points allowed per game with 115.8. They are able to force 15.6 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.1% from the floor (16th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Portland (+5.0)

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