Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, 4/29/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Wednesday, April 29, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+8.5)

The Cleveland Cavaliers (52-30) will try to beat the Toronto Raptors (46-36) at Rocket Arena on Wednesday in Game 5 of their 1st round series. The series is tied 2-2. Cleveland opens this matchup as 8.5-point favorites. The betting total is set at 215.5.

The Raptors were able to tie the series by a final score of 93-89 in Game 4. Concerning personal fouls, the Raptors ended up finishing with 19 while the Cavaliers racked up 27 personal fouls. They converted 10 out of their 40 shots from beyond the arc. Cleveland shot 65.2% at the free throw line by knocking down 15 of their 23 shots. In addition, Cleveland snagged 56 boards (16 offensive, 40 defensive) and got 8 blocked shots. Cleveland distributed 15 dimes and had 5 steals for the game. In relation to defending, Toronto allowed 36.8% from the floor on 32 of 87 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists in this game in addition to forcing 18 turnovers and having 11 steals. In terms of getting rebounds, they collected 59 with 21 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Raptors converted 27 of their 36 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Toronto wrapped up the contest having earned a 32.0% field goal percentage (31 of 97) and converted 4 of 30 3-point shots.

Scottie Barnes is a player who was a major contributor for the contest. He walked away with 23 points on 6 of 15 shooting. He played for 42 mins and also collected 9 boards. Barnes finished the game shooting 40.0% from the floor and also recorded 6 assists.

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Toronto will play this game with a win-loss mark of 46-36 for the season. They have an average of 114.6 points per game (21st in the league) while hitting 48.2% from the field. The Raptors are connecting on 35.4% on shots from distance (932 of 2,633) and 76.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, Toronto is grabbing 42.1 boards per contest and has totaled 2,417 assists on the year, which is 3rd in basketball in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.7 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 20.9 fouls per game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Raptors are forcing 16.1 turnovers every game while drawing 19.8 fouls. They are giving up 34.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 9th in basketball in points per game from their opponents (111.8). The Raptors defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.7% (3,289 of 7,047) and they surrender 42.9 rebounds per game as a squad. They are ranked 2nd in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,006 relinquished on the campaign.

Cleveland didn't play particularly well in Game 4. The Cavaliers recorded 40 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 56 for this contest. They also turned the ball over 18 times, while earning 5 steals for this contest. The Raptors committed 19 personal fouls in this game which got the Cavaliers to the free throw line for a total of 23 attempts. They were able to convert 15 of the free throws for a clip of 65.2%. In terms of 3-point shots, Cleveland made 10 of 40 tries (25.0%). Overall, the Cavaliers ended up shooting 32 out of 87 from the floor which had them shooting 36.8%. The Cavaliers permitted the Raptors to make 31 of their 97 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 32.0% in the game. They finished 13.3% from behind the 3-point line by hitting 4 of 30 and walked away from this one shooting 27 out of 36 at the free throw line (75.0%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, Cleveland allowed Toronto to grab 59 overall (21 on the offensive side).

Donovan Mitchell was important for the Cavaliers for this game. He buried 6 of 24 in this game for a field goal percentage of 25.0%, and had 6 rebounds. Mitchell scored 20 points in his 37 mins of playing time and totaled 3 dimes for the matchup.

Cleveland has a record of 52-30 so far this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Cavaliers are shooting 48.2% from the field, which is ranked 8th in the league. Cleveland has tallied 9,801 pts this year (119.5 per game) and they collect 44.4 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 28.3 times per contest (8th in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.0 times per contest. The Cavaliers have committed 19.6 fouls per game and they connect on 77.6% from the charity stripe.

The Cleveland defense gives up 37.2% on shots from distance (1,163 of 3,127) and opponents are making 79.4% of their foul shots. They have conceded 26.9 dimes and 43.2 rebounds every game, which is ranked 16th and 12th in the league. The Cavaliers on defense are ranked 15th in the league in points allowed per game with 115.4. They are forcing their opponents into 15.0 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.4% from the field (8th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-8.5)

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