Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 3/5/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Toronto Raptors (35-26) are en route to Target Center on Thursday where they will take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (39-23).

The Raptors played the Knicks and took a loss by a final of 111-95 in their last game. Toronto walked away from the game having earned a 45.5% FG percentage (35 of 77) and knocked down 8 out of their 28 three-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Raptors made 17 of their 19 shots for a percentage of 89.5%. In terms of grabbing boards, they earned a total of 28 with 5 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 24 assists in this contest while forcing 18 turnovers and having 8 steals. In reference to defending, Toronto allowed the other team to go 56.8% from the floor on 46 out of 81 shooting. New York doled out 32 assists and had 10 steals for this game. Additionally, New York snagged 43 boards (6 offensive, 37 defensive) and earned 3 rejections. New York shot 75.0% from the free throw line by burying 9 of 12 tries. They also knocked down 10 of their 29 tries from long range. When discussing personal fouls, the Raptors ended up finishing with 15 and the Knicks accumulated 17 personal fouls.

Brandon Ingram is one player who was a major contributor in the game. He notched 31 points on 11 of 20 shooting. He was on the court for 37 mins and also snagged 2 rebounds. Ingram finished the contest at 55.0% from the field and recorded 4 assists.

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Toronto will take the court with a win-loss mark of 35-26 for the campaign. They have an average of 113.7 points per game (22nd in the NBA) on 47.3% from the floor. The Raptors are shooting 34.6% on shots from 3-point land (699 of 2,020) and 78.6% from the free throw line. As a team, Toronto is collecting 42.6 boards per game and has earned 1,772 dimes this season, which is 7th in the league in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 13.9 times per game and as a group are committing 20.8 fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Raptors are able to force 16.0 turnovers per game and they draw 19.4 fouls. They are conceding 34.9% from beyond the arc and they are 8th in the league in points per game from their opponents (112.0). The Raptors defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 46.3% (2,444 of 5,276) and they surrender 43.5 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 3rd in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,503 surrendered for the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Timberwolves went home victorious with a score of 117-110 when they played the Grizzlies. In the matter of team rebounding, Minnesota allowed Memphis to collect 33 in total (5 on the offensive glass). They finished 39.5% from distance by going 15 of 38 and walked away from this one shooting 23 of 29 from the free throw line (79.3%). The Timberwolves permitted the Grizzlies to convert 36 of their 79 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 45.6% in the matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Timberwolves shot 40 out of 84 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 47.6%. In terms of shooting from distance, Minnesota knocked down 10 out of their 34 tries (29.4%). They were able to convert 27 of the free throw tries for a clip of 79.4%. The Grizzlies were called for 26 personal fouls in this game which took the Timberwolves to the charity stripe for 34 attempts. They turned it over 18 times, while recording 8 steals in this matchup. The Timberwolves were able to pull down 39 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive boards for a total of 52 for the matchup.

Anthony Edwards was important for the Timberwolves in the game. He made 15 out of 29 in this matchup giving him a rate of 51.7%, and had 6 rebounds. Edwards racked up 41 points in his 37 mins on the court and totaled 2 assists in the game.

Minnesota has a mark of 39-23 on the season. The Timberwolves are committing 21.3 fouls every game and they shoot 74.4% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 26.4 times per contest (14th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.7 times per contest. Minnesota has totaled 7,384 points on the campaign (119.1 per contest) and they pull in 44.8 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves are hitting on 48.4% from the field, which is 3rd in the league.

The Minnesota defense allows 36.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (774 of 2,149) and opponents are knocking down 77.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They concede 25.9 dimes and 42.9 boards per game, which is 10th and 9th in the league. The Timberwolves on the defensive end are ranked 13th in basketball in PPG given up with 114.5. They are forcing their opponents into 15.2 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.2% from the field (9th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto

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