Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction, 3/10/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Kaseya Center vs Washington Wizards

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (36-29) will play the Washington Wizards (16-47) on Tuesday.

The Wizards played the Pelicans and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 138-118 in their last contest. Concerning fouls, the Wizards finished with 31 while the Pelicans accounted for 20 fouls. They also converted 7 out of their 23 attempts from 3-point range. New Orleans ended up shooting 78.7% at the charity stripe by burying 37 of 47 shots. Furthermore, New Orleans snagged 44 rebounds (12 offensive, 32 defensive) and earned 3 blocks. New Orleans doled out 25 assists and had 11 steals in this matchup. When talking about defense, Washington allowed 52.8% from the field on 47 out of 89 shooting. They also distributed 27 assists for this game as well as creating 8 turnovers and getting 2 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 41 with 13 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Wizards made 22 of 27 tries for a percentage of 81.5%. Washington finished the game with a 45.1% FG percentage (41 of 91) and buried 14 of their 42 shots from downtown.

Tre Johnson is someone who was a factor in this matchup. He notched 20 points on 7 of 13 shooting. He played for 22 mins played and also pulled down 4 rebounds. Johnson went 53.8% from the field and also totaled 1 assist.

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Washington heads into this one with a mark of 16-47 on the campaign. They average 112.3 pts per contest (25th in the league) while shooting 45.9% from the field. The Wizards are connecting on 35.5% on shots from downtown (810 of 2,283) and 76.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Washington is snagging 43.0 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 1,580 dimes for the season, which ranks 25th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 15.5 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 21.0 fouls per game.

Defensively, the Wizards are able to force 13.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 36.7% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 29th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (123.3). The Wizards are allowing a FG percentage of 48.0% (2,787 of 5,811) and they surrender 47.8 boards per game as a group. They are 27th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,809 relinquished on the season.

In their last game, the Heat got the victory with a final of 121-110 against the Pistons. The Heat earned 36 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 49 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 12 times, while earning 9 steals in this contest. The Pistons had 23 personal fouls for the contest which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 25 tries. They were able to convert 23 of those for a percentage of 92.0%. In terms of shots from beyond the perimeter, Miami converted 12 of 33 tries (36.4%). Overall, the Heat finished shooting 43 out of 93 from the floor which had them shooting 46.2%. The Heat allowed the Pistons to knock down 40 of 90 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 44.4% in this game. They finished 29.7% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 11 of 37 and walked away from this one shooting 19 out of 24 at the free throw line (79.2%). When talking about cleaning the glass, Miami permitted Detroit to pull down 39 overall (13 offensive).

Tyler Herro ended up being a major contributor for the Heat for the matchup. He made 8 of 16 for this game for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. Herro totaled 25 points in his 30 minutes on the court and had 3 assists in the matchup.

Miami has a win-loss record of 36-29 this season. As an offensive team, the Heat are hitting on 46.5% from the field, which is 17th in the league. Miami has totaled 7,809 points for the campaign (120.1 per contest) and they grab 47.2 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 28.7 times per contest (7th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.0 times per game. The Heat are committing 18.9 personal fouls per game while shooting 78.9% from the free throw line.

The Heat on defense are ranked 20th in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 116.5. They are forcing 15.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the floor (5th in the NBA). The Miami defense concedes 34.7% on shots from behind the 3-point line (895 of 2,578) and their opponents are connecting on 80.5% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 27.0 dimes and 47.0 rebounds every game, which is ranked 17th and 29th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington

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