Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/20/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Date: Saturday, March 20, 2021
Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON
Odds/Point Spread: Flames (+136) Maple Leafs (-150)
Jack Campbell and the Toronto Maple Leafs (19-9-2) host the Calgary Flames (14-13-3) at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday. The Flames open this matchup at +136 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -150. The over/under opens at 6.
The Flames will look to clean up some issues after taking a 7-3 defeat to the Oilers in their last contest. Their offensive zone starts came in at 68.4% and they had a PDO at even strength of 89.5 in this one. They accumulated 18 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 23 opportunities to win the puck. Their Fenwick came in at 34 and the Fenwick Against sat at 28, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 54.8%. The Corsi for the Flames came in at 46 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 32 which means they had a Corsi rate of 59.0%. Calgary accumulated 6 penalty mins in this game. In addition, they had 3 chances on the power play and netted 1 goal. The Flames offense showed they have some room for improvement in this defeat. For the game, they tallied a score on 3 out of the 33 shots they put on goal.
The Flames have had 906 shots attempted against them and have earned a save percentage of .900. While at even strength, the Flames have surrendered 70 goals while getting 60 as an offensive unit. Calgary Flames opponents have totaled 98 power play opportunities (9th in pro hockey) and have scored 21 goals in those attempts. For the current season, the have a total of 31 points and their points % is .517. Calgary has tried 898 shots and holds a shot percentage of 9.1%. With regard to scoring goals, the Calgary Flames have racked up 82 goals (20th in the NHL) on the campaign and have allowed 91. Calgary has tallied 107 power play opportunities and they have tallied 22 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 20.56%.
The player in the crease for this game is David Rittich. The opposition has notched 324 goals versus Rittich in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.83. Rittich has played in 126 matchups throughout his professional hockey career. He has a save percentage of .908 during his 6,875 minutes guarding the cage. He has compiled a win-loss record of 62-37-15 and he was named the starter in 115 games. Over the course of his career, Rittich has accumulated 65 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .565. Rittich has seen 3,509 shots against him and has accrued 3,185 total saves.
Their last time out, Toronto went up against the Senators in a matchup where the Maple Leafs took a loss by a tally of 4-3. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this matchup but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Maple Leafs tallied 3 goals of the 36 shots on goal they attempted. Their PDO was 96 and they'll go home having earned an oZS percentage of 66.5%. Toronto wound up with a 59.1% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Toronto had and you can say they had a mediocre outing. They had a Fenwick percentage of 57.3% with a Fenwick of 51 and the Senators having racked up a 38 Fenwick.
The Maple Leafs have scored 76 goals at even strength and 26 goals (5th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Toronto has taken 919 shots (9th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.10%, while allowing their opponents 859 shots. On the year, the Toronto Maple Leafs have accumulated 102 goals, 40 points, in addition to a points percentage of .667. They have earned 87 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 29.89%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 75.58% on the other teams 86 power play chances, and their save percentage comes in at 90.8%. They have allowed 79 goals to be scored by of a combination of 58 goals at even strength and 21 goals while they were shorthanded.
On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Jack Campbell in goal. He has racked up 1,730 saves out of 1,885 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .918. Campbell has amassed a career record of 26-27-6 and has participated in 67 games. He has been a starter 59 games and has been on the ice for 3,687 mins. Campbell's quality start rate is 54.2% and he has 32 quality starting assignments in his professional career. Opponents are averaging 2.52 goals per game and he has given up 155 goals altogether.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Josh's Pick: Take Calgary (+136)
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