Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 2/5/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Date: Friday, February 5, 2021
Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL
Odds/Point Spread: Red Wings (+290) Lightning (-350)
Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning (6-1-1) host the Detroit Red Wings (2-7-2) at Amalie Arena on Friday. The Lightning open this matchup at -350 while the Red Wings are priced at +290. The O/U opens at 6.5.
The Red Wings will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 5-1 loss against the Lightning their last time on the ice. The Corsi for the Red Wings came in at 26 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 35 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 42.6%. Their offensive zone starts sat at 35.7% and they had a PDO of 84.4 for this one. Detroit accrued 8 penalty minutes in this game. The Red Wings had a below average offensive performance in this loss. Their Fenwick was 21 and the Fenwick Against sat at 30, meaning they had a Fenwick percentage of 41.2%. They accounted for 22 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 17 attempts to win the puck. In addition, they had 4 power play tries but weren't able to score. In the outing, they earned a goal on 1 of the 16 shots they launched.
The Red Wings have had 321 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .875. When at even strength, the Red Wings have conceded 28 goals while earning 17 when they are on offense. Detroit Red Wings opponents have tallied 35 power play opportunities (15th in the league) and have a total of 11 goals in those chances. For the current campaign, they sit with 6 points and their points percentage is sitting at .273. Detroit has taken 278 shots and holds a shot percentage of 7.6%. In terms of their scoring, the Detroit Red Wings have racked up 21 goals (27th in the National Hockey League) on the season and have surrendered 40. Detroit skates onto the rink with 38 power play opportunities and they have tallied 4 goals during those chances, giving them a rate of 10.53%.
The player between the pipes for this game is Thomas Greiss. In his career, Greiss is sitting with 140 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .549. His save percentage currently is at .914 for his 15,596 mins played. Greiss has had 7,988 shots taken against him and has accrued 7,300 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 688 goals versus Greiss in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.65. He has earned a win-loss mark of 137-96-30 and he was named the starter in 255 games. Greiss has been in goal for 290 matchups throughout his NHL career.
In their win over Detroit, Tampa Bay wound up with a 57.4% Corsi rating. This Corsi rating is telling of the kind of game that Tampa Bay played and it tells us that they played really well in this game. Their Fenwick percentage came in at 58.8% by way of having a Fenwick of 30 and the Red Wings earning a 21 Fenwick at even strength. Their PDO was 116 and they finished this one with an oZS percentage of 62.1%. The Lightning tallied 5 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they attempted. They had 4 power play opportunities in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net.
The Lightning have earned 23 goals at even strength and 6 goals (18th in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. Tampa Bay has put up 256 shots (25th in pro hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.33%, while allowing the opposition 221 shots. On the season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 29 goals, 13 points, in addition to a points percentage of .813. They have recorded 29 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 20.69%. They have a penalty kill rate of 82.76% on their opponents 29 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is 11.3%. They have permitted 17 goals to be scored by way of 12 goals at even strength and 5 goals while they had less men on the ice.
For the opposition you will find Andrei Vasilevskiy in the crease. Vasilevskiy has accrued a lifetime mark of 165-74-19 and has been in goal for 268 contests. Vasilevskiy's quality start rate comes out to 56.6% and he has made 146 quality starting assignments in his professional career. He has accrued 7,495 saves out of 8,154 shots taken against him, which gives him a save percentage of .919. Opponents are averaging 2.54 goals/game and he has allowed 659 goals in total. He has started in 258 games and his ice time sits at 15,586 minutes.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-350)
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