Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 5/7/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals

Date: Friday, May 7, 2021

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: NHL Network

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+165) Capitals (-190)

Capital One Arena is the venue where Ilya Samsonov and the Washington Capitals (34-14-5) will play the Philadelphia Flyers (23-23-7) on Friday. The odds on this matchup have the Flyers priced at +165 and the Capitals are at -190. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Flyers will look to clean up some issues after taking a 7-3 defeat to the Penguins in their previous outing. The Flyers had an average offensive output in this defeat. In the game, they converted 3 of the 33 shots they looked to score on. Moreover, they had 1 power play try but weren't able to score a goal. Philadelphia accounted for 9 penalty minutes in this game. The Corsi for the Flyers was 58 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 44 which means they had a Corsi rate of 56.9%. Their Fenwick was 47 and the Fenwick Against sat at 35, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 57.3%. They recorded 34 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 25 attempts to win the puck. Their offensive zone starts were rated at 43.6% and they had a PDO of 90.4 for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers opponents have totaled 160 power play opportunities (11th in the league) and have scored 45 goals in those attempts. The Flyers have had 1,541 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .876. Philadelphia has taken 1,603 shots and has a shooting percentage of 9.4%. While at even strength, the Flyers have allowed the opponent to score 146 goals while scoring 120 of their own. Philadelphia has accounted for 159 power play opportunities and they have scored 31 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 19.50%. For the current season, they have recorded 53 points and their points percentage is .500. Regarding their scoring, the Philadelphia Flyers have earned 151 goals (14th in the NHL) so far this season and have given up 191.

Patrolling the crease for the game will be Brian Elliott. Elliott has participated in 500 contests over the course of his pro hockey career. He has an overall mark of 254-155-49 and he was named the starter in 454 games. Opponents have tallied 1,168 goals against Elliott in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.54. Elliott has had 13,018 shots against him and has gathered 11,850 saves. His save percentage currently is .910 during his 27,631 minutes guarding the cage. During his career on the ice, Elliott has accounted for 248 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .546.

When they were on the ice last, Washington faced off against the Rangers in a game where the Capitals earned a win by a score of 4-2. They had 7 attempts on the power play in this outing and notched 2 out of those chances. The Capitals scored 4 goals of the 35 shots on goal they pursued. They had a PDO of 95 and their percentage of oZS was 61.0%. Washington wrapped up this game with a 64.3% Corsi rating. This Corsi percentage speaks to the kind of game that Washington played and they showed out in this one. Their Fenwick rate was 64.0% by tallying a Fenwick of 32 and the Rangers finishing with a 18 Fenwick.

Washington has put up 1,545 shots (18th in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 11.78%, while allowing the other team 1,529 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 83.44% on their opponents 157 power play opportunities, and their save percentage is currently 89.9%. They have earned 147 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play percentage of 25.85%. The Capitals have accumulated 144 goals at even strength and 38 goals (6th in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have granted a total of 155 goals to be scored by of a combination of 129 goals at even strength and 26 goals while they were shorthanded. On the season, the Washington Capitals are sitting with 182 goals, 73 points, in addition to a points percentage of .689.

Across the ice you will find Ilya Samsonov in the crease. His opposition is averaging 2.61 goals per contest and he has allowed 109 goals overall. Samsonov's quality start rate comes in at 50.0% and he has 20 quality starts in his professional career. He has started in 40 contests and has played for a total of 2,504 minutes. Samsonov has earned a lifetime mark of 29-10-3 and has participated in 45 games. He has compiled 1,079 saves out of the 1,188 shots taken, giving him a save percentage of .908.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Philadelphia (+165)

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