Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, 5/1/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings
Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021
Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI
TV: Bally Sports Detroit
Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-345) Red Wings (+285)
Jonathan Bernier and the Detroit Red Wings (17-26-9) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (34-14-2) at Little Caesars Arena on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Lightning priced at -345 and the Red Wings are at +285. The over/under opens at 5.5.
The Lightning were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 3-0 victory against the Stars in their last outing. The Corsi for the Lightning came in at 37 and the Corsi against when the final whistle blew was 41 meaning they had a Corsi percentage of 47.4%. Their starts in the offensive zone came in at 58.6% and their PDO was 108.7 for this one. Tampa Bay had 2 minutes in the box in this outing. The Lightning played like an average offensive team in this win. Their Fenwick came in at 30 and the Fenwick Against sat at 27, giving them a Fenwick percentage of 52.6%. They accrued 16 face-off wins when at even strength and lost on 26 attempts to win the face-off. Furthermore, they had 1 chance with the advantage but weren't able to net one. In the game, they netted 3 out of the 28 shots they attempted.
In the matter of their goal scoring prowess, the Tampa Bay Lightning have accumulated 169 goals (4th in the NHL) so far this season and have surrendered 128. For the season, they have accumulated 70 points and their points % is .700. Tampa Bay has accumulated 155 power play opportunities and they have notched 38 goals during those chances, garnering them a percentage of 24.52%. At even strength, the Lightning let the opposition score 100 goals while having 131 themselves. Tampa Bay has attempted 1,511 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 11.2%. The Lightning have had 1,427 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .910. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 162 power play opportunities (3rd in the NHL) and have scored 28 goals in those attempts.
The player between the pipes for this game is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Opponents have notched 725 goals versus Vasilevskiy in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per game is 2.49. Vasilevskiy has been in net for 299 games during his professional hockey career. His save percentage is .920 during his 17,449 minutes on the ice. He has accumulated a mark of 189-81-19 and he started in 289 games. Over the course of his career, Vasilevskiy is sitting with 163 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .564. Vasilevskiy has had 9,084 shot attempts taken against him and has recorded 8,359 saves.
In their last game, Detroit faced the Hurricanes in a matchup where the Red Wings were on the wrong end of the score by a mark of 3-1. Their PDO was 97 and they had an oZS percentage of 51.5%. They had 1 chance on the power play in this game but weren't able to notch a goal. Their Fenwick percentage was 34.4% with a Fenwick of 22 and the Hurricanes finishing with a 42 Fenwick. The Red Wings scored 1 goal out of the 17 shots on goal they tried. Detroit wrapped up this game with a 34.6% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Detroit played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall.
The Red Wings have 100 goals at even strength and 15 goals (30th in pro hockey) while on the power play. Detroit has attempted 1,417 shots (25th in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 8.12%, while allowing their opponents 1,651 shots. On the season, the Detroit Red Wings are sitting with 115 goals, 43 points, and a points percentage of .413. They have a total of 139 power play chances and they have earned a power play rate of 10.79%. They have a penalty kill rate of 77.70% on their oppositions 148 power play opportunities, and their save percentage comes in at 90.4%. They have permitted 159 goals to be scored by of a combination of 126 goals at even strength and 33 goals while they were shorthanded.
Across the ice you will find Jonathan Bernier in the crease. He has recorded 10,362 saves out of the 11,357 shots attempted against him, which gives him a percentage of .912. Bernier is the owner of a lifetime record of 161-158-39 and has played in 393 games. He has made the start in 354 games and his ice time sits at 21,535 mins. Bernier's quality start percentage comes in at 52.5% and he has accumulated 186 quality starts in his career. Opponents are averaging 2.77 goals per contest and he has surrendered 995 goals overall.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Detroit (+285)
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