Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 3/3/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers
Date: Wednesday, March 3, 2021
Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB
Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-108) Oilers (-102)
Mike Smith and the Edmonton Oilers (14-10-0) host the Toronto Maple Leafs (17-4-2) at Rogers Place on Wednesday. The Oilers open this matchup at -102 while the Maple Leafs are priced at -108. The over/under is set at 6.5.
The Maple Leafs had a good night with a 3-0 win against the Oilers their last time on the ice. Their offensive zone starts sat at 52.0% and they had a PDO of 112.5 in this one. They accrued 12 face-off wins at even strength and lost on 21 attempts to take control of the puck. Their Fenwick was 22 and the Fenwick against finished at 37, meaning the had a Fenwick percentage of 37.3%. The Corsi for the Maple Leafs came in at 29 and the Corsi against at the end of this game was 49 which means they had a Corsi rate of 37.2%. Toronto had 38 penalty mins in this contest. In addition, they had 4 power play tries and were able to net 1 goal. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive outing in the win. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 3 out of the 23 shots they put on net.
Regarding scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 81 goals (1st in the league) this season and have given up 55. For the season, they have tallied 36 points and their points % is .783. Toronto has compiled 72 power play chances and they have notched 23 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 31.94%. While at even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 41 goals while scoring 58 on offense. Toronto has tried 681 shots and holds a shot percentage of 11.9%. The Maple Leafs have had 660 shots tried against them and hold a save percentage of .917. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 72 power play opportunities (8th in the NHL) and have tallied 14 goals in those attempts.
The man in net for this game is Frederik Andersen. Opponents have been able to score 970 goals versus Andersen in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.63. Andersen has taken the ice for 385 games over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage currently is .916 during his 22,136 minutes guarding the cage. He has accumulated a win-loss mark of 224-95-47 and he has gotten the start in 374 games. During his career on the ice, Andersen has accumulated 216 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .578. Andersen has had 11,557 shot attempts taken against him and has garnered 10,587 total saves.
When they were on the ice last, Edmonton faced the Maple Leafs in a matchup where the Oilers ended up taking the loss by a score of 3-0. Their PDO at even strength was 88 and they finished the game with an oZS percentage of 48.0%. They had 4 power play chances in this outing but didn't put one in the back of the net. Their Fenwick rate came in at 62.7% by compiling a Fenwick of 37 and the Maple Leafs having accrued a 22 Fenwick. The Oilers recorded 0 goals of the 31 shots on goal they tried. Edmonton had a 62.8% Corsi rate. These Corsi stats tell us the story of the kind of game Edmonton played and you might say they will look have a bounce back performance in their next game.
The Oilers have accumulated 57 goals at even strength and 22 goals (2nd in professional hockey) while on the power play. Edmonton has tried 740 shots (3rd in pro hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 10.68%, while allowing their opponents 767 shots. Over the course of the season, the Edmonton Oilers have tallied 79 goals, 28 points, and a points percentage of .583. They have earned 85 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 25.88%. They have accumulated a penalty kill percentage of 77.33% on their oppositions 75 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 90.6%. They have granted a total of 72 goals to be scored by way of 55 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they had less men on the ice.
Across the ice you will find Mike Smith protecting the net. Smith has accrued a lifetime record of 268-249-74 and has participated in 619 games. Smith's quality start rate sits at 53.1% and he has earned 307 quality starts in his career. He is sitting with 16,444 saves out of the 18,034 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .912. Opponents are averaging 2.70 goals per game and he has allowed 1,590 goals in total. He has been a starter 578 contests and has played 35,314 mins.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (-102)
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