Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, 10/9/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets

Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025

Location: Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB

TV: TSN3

Odds/Point Spread: Stars (+125) Jets (-150)

The Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4 last season) are hosting the Dallas Stars (50-26-6 last year) at Canada Life Centre on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has Dallas at +125 and Winnipeg is opening at -150. The over/under is 6.

The Dallas Stars were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 6-3 defeat against the Oilers in their previous game. The Stars offense showed they have some room for improvement in the loss. In the outing, they scored on 3 of the 17 shots they looked to score on. In addition, they had 2 chances with extra men on the ice and were able to score 1 goal. Dallas recorded 4 penalty mins in this contest.

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While playing at even strength, the Stars allowed the opponent to score 181 goals while earning 220. Dallas Stars opposition had 228 power play opportunities (15th in the league) and earned 41 goals in those chances. When talking about their scoring capabilities, the Dallas Stars accumulated 275 goals (4th in the NHL) over the course of last year and gave up 222. Dallas tried 2,325 shots and held a shot percentage of 11.8%. For the year, they racked up 106 points and their points percentage finished at .646. The Stars had 2,382 shots attempted against them and held a save percentage of .907. Dallas accumulated 250 power play chances and scored 55 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 22.00%.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Jake Oettinger. The opposition has scored 608 goals versus Oettinger in his NHL career and his goals against average is 3.26. Oettinger has taken the ice for 251 games during his hockey career. He has a save percentage of .912 for his 11,183 mins on the ice. He has a record of 149-66-27 and he has gotten the start in 242 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Oettinger has recorded 142 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .587. Oettinger has seen 6,904 shot attempts against him and has recorded 6,296 total saves.

Their last time out, Winnipeg faced off against the Stars in a game where the Jets took the loss by a tally of 2-1. They had 1 power play opportunity in this one but weren't able to notch a goal. The Jets tallied 1 goal out of the 23 shots on goal they pursued.

Winnipeg put up 2,313 shots (16th in professional hockey) and had a shooting percentage of 11.89%, while allowing their opponent 2,229 shots. They accumulated a penalty kill rate of 79.40% on the other team's 199 tries on the power play, and their save percentage came in at 91.5%. They had a total of 218 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 28.90%. The Jets finished with 212 goals at even strength and 63 goals (3rd in pro hockey) while on the power play. They granted a total of 190 goals to be scored by way of 149 goals at even strength and 41 goals while they had less men on the ice. Last year, the Winnipeg Jets accumulated 275 goals, 116 points, in addition to a points percentage of .707.

Across the ice you will find Connor Hellebuyck defending the net. He has accounted for 15,660 stops out of the 17,066 shots attempted, giving him a save % of .918. Hellebuyck has earned a career record of 322-185-44 and has been in net for 568 contests. He has been a starter 558 contests and his ice time sits at 29,413 mins. Hellebuyck's quality start percentage sits at 60.0% and he has qualified for 335 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. His opposition is averaging 2.87 goals per contest and he has surrendered 1,406 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Winnipeg (-150)

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