Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, 12/15/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Date: Monday, December 15, 2025

Location: Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL

TV: WXPX-TV

Odds/Point Spread: Panthers (+110) Lightning (-130)

The Florida Panthers (15-13-2) are headed to Amalie Arena on Monday where they will take on the Tampa Bay Lightning (18-11-2). The line on this matchup has the Panthers at +110 and the Lightning are sitting at -130. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Florida Panthers will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 6-2 defeat to the Avalanche in their last outing. Florida tallied 6 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Panthers didn't have a great showing offensively in the defeat. They also had 2 chances with extra men on the ice but didn't convert them into a score. In the game, they scored on 2 of the 25 shots they tried.

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Florida Panthers opponents have tallied 98 power play opportunities (11th in the NHL) and have a total of 18 goals in those chances. The Panthers have had 808 shots tried against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .879. Florida has attempted 886 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.5%. When at even strength, the Panthers let the opposition score 80 goals while earning 74 themselves. Florida has accounted for 104 power play chances and they have scored 19 goals out of those advantages, giving them a percentage of 18.27%. For the current campaign, they have racked up 32 points and their points percentage is sitting at .533. In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Florida Panthers have tallied 93 goals (14th in the NHL) on the season and have surrendered 98.

The man protecting the net in this game is Sergei Bobrovsky. Opponents have scored 1,929 goals versus Bobrovsky in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.53. Bobrovsky has participated in 775 matchups during his NHL career. He has a save percentage of .914 during his 40,013 mins guarding the cage. He has accumulated a mark of 441-251-58 and was named the starter in 761 games. For his professional hockey career, Bobrovsky has compiled 442 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .581. Bobrovsky has had 22,313 shot attempts taken against him and has accrued 20,384 total saves.

Their last time out, Tampa Bay faced off against the Devils in a game where the Lightning earned a win by a final of 8-4. They had 3 power play opportunities in this contest and recorded 2 out of those opportunities. The Lightning recorded 8 goals of the 35 shots on goal they were seeking.

On the campaign, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 102 goals, 38 points, as well as a points percentage of .613. They have permitted 80 goals to be scored by way of 66 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they were shorthanded. The Lightning have accumulated 85 goals at even strength and 17 goals (20th in the league) while on the power play. They have recorded 95 power play opportunities and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 17.89%. Tampa Bay has tried 857 shots (17th in hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 11.90%, while allowing the other team 851 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 85.86% on the other teams 99 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.6%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Jonas Johansson in goal. Johansson is the owner of a career mark of 39-31-12 and has been in goal for 93 games. Johansson's quality start rate sits at 46.3% and he has made 38 quality starts in his NHL career. He has tallied 2,239 stops out of 2,511 shots tried, giving him a save % of .892. The opposition is averaging 3.32 goals/game and he has conceded 272 goals overall. He has been a starter 82 contests and has been on the ice for 4,270 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Florida (+110)

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