New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, 10/9/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025

Location: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Islanders (-275) Penguins (+220)

PPG Paints Arena is the location where the Pittsburgh Penguins (34-36-12 last year) will take on the New York Islanders (35-35-12 last season) on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Islanders at -275 and the Penguins are sitting at +220. The total is set at 6.5.

The New York Islanders will look for better times on the ice after their 6-1 loss against the Blue Jackets in the last game they played. New York tallied 2 minutes in the box in this contest. The Islanders didn't have their best offensive outing in the loss. Furthermore, they had 1 chance with extra men on the ice but didn't get a goal. In the game, they tallied a score on 1 out of the 37 shots they tried.

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At even strength, the Islanders gave up 207 goals while having 196. New York Islanders opponents had 180 power play tries (31st in hockey) and scored 50 goals in those attempts. Pertaining to their scoring capabilities, the New York Islanders earned 222 goals (27th in hockey) last season and allowed 257. New York took 2,418 shots and had a shooting percentage of 9.2%. For last season, they recorded 82 points and their points % was .500. The Islanders had 2,356 shots taken against them and held a save percentage of .891. New York accumulated 207 power play opportunities and tallied 26 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 12.56%.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Sorokin. The opposition has racked up 634 goals versus Sorokin in his pro career and his goals against average per contest is 3.34. Sorokin has participated in 253 contests over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .916 during his 11,403 minutes played. He has amassed a mark of 125-89-36 and he has started in 248 games. Over the course of his pro career, Sorokin has recorded 165 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .665. Sorokin has seen 7,561 shot attempts against him and has garnered 6,927 saves.

Their last time out, Pittsburgh squared up with the Capitals in an outing where the Penguins earned a victory by a mark of 5-2. They had 2 opportunities on the power play in this outing and scored 1 out of those chances. The Penguins converted 5 goals out of the 38 shots on goal they were seeking.

The Penguins racked up 185 goals at even strength and 57 goals (8th in hockey) while on the power play. Pittsburgh put up 2,323 shots (15th in professional hockey) and accumulated a shot percentage of 10.42%, while allowing the opposition 2,470 shots. Last season, the Pittsburgh Penguins earned a total of 242 goals, 80 points, in addition to a points percentage of .488. They allowed 287 goals to be scored by of a combination of 239 goals at even strength and 48 goals while they were shorthanded. They earned 221 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 25.79%. They had a penalty kill percentage of 77.78% on their opposition's 216 power play opportunities, and their save percentage came in at 88.4%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Tristan Jarry in the crease. He has compiled 7,568 saves out of the 8,323 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .909. Jarry has a career record of 152-97-31 and has been in goal for 293 games. He has started in 281 games and has racked up 14,544 minutes. Jarry's rate of quality starts comes in at 59.1% and he has accumulated 166 quality starting assignments in his hockey career. The opposition is averaging 3.11 goals/game and he has given up 755 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+220)

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