New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 10/16/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Rangers (+172) Maple Leafs (-210)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (2-2-0) will try to beat the New York Rangers (2-3-0) at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rangers at +172 while the Maple Leafs are opening at -210. The total comes in at 6.

The New York Rangers will look for better times on the ice after their 2-0 loss against the Oilers their last time out. The Rangers didn't have their best offensive outing in the defeat. For the outing, they went scoreless on the 30 shots they launched. Moreover, they had 3 power play opportunities but weren't able to make the most of them. New York accrued 2 minutes in the box in this game.

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At even strength, the Rangers have conceded 7 goals while notching 8 when they are on offense. New York Rangers opponents have 10 power play opportunities (24th in pro hockey) and have earned 0 goals in those attempts. When talking about their scoring capabilities, the New York Rangers have racked up 10 goals (17th in pro hockey) on the season and have given up 7. New York has taken 153 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 6.5%. For the current campaign, they have 4 points and their points percentage comes in at .400. The Rangers have seen 130 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .946. New York steps onto the ice with 14 power play opportunities and they have added 2 goals during those chances, earning them a rate of 14.29%.

The man in net for this game is Igor Shesterkin. Shesterkin has played in 278 contests throughout his pro hockey career. He has amassed a win-loss mark of 164-90-22 and he has started in 273 games. Opponents have racked up 673 goals versus Shesterkin in his professional hockey career and his goals against average is 2.53. Shesterkin has seen 8,215 shots against him and has garnered 7,542 saves. His save percentage is at .918 during his 15,942 minutes played. Over the course of his pro career, Shesterkin has earned 172 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .630.

When they were on the ice last, Toronto played the Predators in an outing where the Maple Leafs ended up with the win by a score of 7-4. They had 2 power play opportunities in this contest but weren't able to put one in the back of the net. The Maple Leafs scored 7 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they tried.

The Maple Leafs have 17 goals at even strength and 0 goals (30th in professional hockey) while on the power play. Toronto has taken 118 shots (7th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shooting percentage of 14.41%, while allowing their opponents 111 shots. On the campaign, the Toronto Maple Leafs are sitting with 17 goals, 4 points, in addition to a points percentage of .500. They have allowed 15 goals to be scored by of a combination of 13 goals at even strength and 2 goals while they were shorthanded. They have recorded 8 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play rate of 0.00%. They have earned a penalty kill percentage of 83.33% on their oppositions 12 opportunities on the power play, and their save percentage currently sits at 86.5%.

Across the ice you are likely to see Anthony Stolarz between the pipes. Stolarz is sitting with a career record of 65-41-12 and has participated in 145 contests. Stolarz's percentage of quality starts sits at 61.3% and he has qualified for 73 quality starts in his pro career. He has recorded 3,640 stops out of the 3,971 shots tried, which gives him a percentage of .917. His opposition is averaging 1986.00 goals per game and he has yielded 331 goals altogether. He was named a starter in 119 games and his ice time sits at 10 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (+172)

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