Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 11/15/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars

Date: Saturday, November 15, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Victory+

Odds/Point Spread: Flyers (+172) Stars (-210)

The Philadelphia Flyers (8-5-3) are hitting the road to American Airlines Center on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Dallas Stars (10-4-3). The odds on this game have Philadelphia at +172 while Dallas is priced at -210. The over/under has been set at 6.

The Philadelphia Flyers were on the wrong end of the scoreboard with a 2-1 loss to the Oilers in their previous outing. The Flyers didn't have a great showing offensively in this loss. For the outing, they converted 1 of the 21 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 3 power play chances and were able to net 1 goal. Philadelphia accounted for 6 penalty minutes for this game.

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In the matter of their scoring capabilities, the Philadelphia Flyers have tallied 41 goals (30th in the National Hockey League) on the campaign and have allowed 41. For the season, they have 19 points and their points % is .594. Philadelphia has 49 power play chances and they have notched 10 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a percentage of 20.41%. While at even strength, the Flyers have conceded 35 goals while getting 31 on the offensive side of the ice. Philadelphia has attempted 393 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.4%. The Flyers have had 408 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .900. Philadelphia Flyers opponents have earned 53 power play opportunities (15th in hockey) and have come away with 6 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Samuel Ersson. For his career, Ersson has accounted for 53 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .486. His save percentage sits at .887 during his 5,843 mins played. Ersson has had 2,811 shot attempts against him and he has 2,494 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 317 goals versus Ersson in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.91. He has amassed a win-loss record of 53-40-14 and he started in 109 games. Ersson has played in 115 matchups over the course of his pro hockey career.

In their last contest, Dallas faced the Senators in a game where the Stars ended up with the win by a score of 3-2. The Stars notched 3 goals of the 33 shots on goal they were seeking. They had 3 power play chances in this game and tallied 1 out of those tries.

So far this year, the Dallas Stars have notched a total of 50 goals, 23 points, as well as a points percentage of .676. They have granted a total of 52 goals to be scored by of a combination of 38 goals at even strength and 14 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Stars have tallied 30 goals at even strength and 20 goals (1st in professional hockey) while on the power play. They have earned 61 power play opportunities and they have a power play rate of 32.79%. Dallas has attempted 443 shots (25th in hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 11.29%, while allowing the opposition 477 shots. They have a penalty kill rate of 73.58% on their oppositions 53 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.1%.

Across the ice you are expected to see Jake Oettinger protecting the goal. The opposition is averaging 2.53 goals per game and he has surrendered 643 goals in total. Oettinger's quality start rate sits at 58.7% and he has made 149 quality starts in his pro career. He got the starting nod in 254 games and his ice time sits at 13,333 minutes. Oettinger is the owner of a lifetime record of 156-69-29 and has played in 263 games. He has recorded 6,599 stops out of the 7,242 shots tried, giving him a save % of .911.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas (-210)

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