Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars Prediction, 12/7/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Dallas Stars

Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Victory+

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (+120) Stars (-144)

The Dallas Stars (18-5-5) host the Pittsburgh Penguins (14-7-5) at American Airlines Center on Sunday. The line on this contest has Pittsburgh at +120 and Dallas is priced at -144. The total has been set at 6.

The Pittsburgh Penguins were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-3 victory over the Lightning their last time on the ice. The Penguins had a impressive offensive output in the victory. For the outing, they netted 4 of the 31 shots they launched. They also had 4 power play opportunities and were able to score 2 goals. Pittsburgh earned 17 mins in the box in this game.

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At even strength, the Penguins have conceded 59 goals while having 61 when they are on offense. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have totaled 79 power play opportunities (20th in professional hockey) and have tallied 12 goals in those chances. In regard to their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have racked up 83 goals (14th in the National Hockey League) over the course of the season and have conceded 71. Pittsburgh has tried 707 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.7%. For the season, they have scored 33 points and their points percentage sits at .635. The Penguins have seen 748 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .905. Pittsburgh has tallied 64 power play opportunities and they have scored 22 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 34.38%.

The man protecting the net in this game is Tristan Jarry. Jarry has played in 305 games during his professional hockey career. He has accumulated an overall mark of 161-99-31 and got the start in 292 games. The opposition has been able to score 785 goals versus Jarry in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.69. Jarry has seen 8,667 shots taken against him and he has 7,882 saves. He has a save percentage of .909 in his 15,558 minutes on the ice. Over the course of his time in hockey, Jarry has earned 174 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is at .596.

In their last contest, Dallas faced off against the Devils in an outing where the Stars took home the victory by a final of 3-0. They had 1 power play opportunity in this game but were not able to net one. The Stars notched 3 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they attempted.

So far this year, the Dallas Stars have 96 goals, 41 points, as well as a points percentage of .732. They have allowed 72 goals to be scored by way of 55 goals at even strength and 17 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Stars have scored 67 goals at even strength and 29 goals (1st in pro hockey) while having more men on the ice. They have a total of 92 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 31.52%. Dallas has put up 729 shots (22nd in the NHL) and has a shooting percentage of 13.17%, while allowing the opposition 783 shots. They have accumulated a penalty kill rate of 80.90% on their opponents 89 power play tries, and their save percentage comes in at 90.8%.

Across the rink you are likely to see Jake Oettinger in the crease. Oettinger is the owner of a career record of 161-70-29 and has played in 269 games. Oettinger's percentage of quality starts sits at 58.8% and he has made 153 quality starts in his pro hockey career. He has tallied 6,751 saves out of 7,406 shots attempted against him, giving him a percentage of .912. His opponents are averaging 2.52 goals per contest and he has surrendered 655 goals in total. He has made the start in 260 games and has accumulated 13,348 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Dallas (-144) and under 6 goals

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