Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 12/23/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Penguins (-182) Maple Leafs (+150)

The Pittsburgh Penguins (14-11-9) are traveling to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the Toronto Maple Leafs (15-14-5). The line on this matchup has the Penguins at -182 while the Maple Leafs are coming in at +150. The over/under comes in at 6.5.

The Pittsburgh Penguins were on the losing side of the ice with a 4-0 defeat to the Canadiens in the last game they played. Pittsburgh had 2 penalty minutes for this matchup. The Penguins had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in the defeat. Additionally, they had 3 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. In the game, they went home without being able to finish on any of the 31 shots they put on net.

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Regarding their goal scoring prowess, the Pittsburgh Penguins have notched 103 goals (17th in hockey) on the campaign and have surrendered 105. For the season, they have tallied 37 points and their points percentage is sitting at .544. Pittsburgh has accumulated 95 power play opportunities and they have scored 28 goals out of those attempts, giving them a rate of 29.47%. While at even strength, the Penguins have allowed the opponent to score 85 goals while notching 75 of their own. Pittsburgh has taken 966 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.7%. The Penguins have seen 966 shots tried against them and have a save percentage of .891. Pittsburgh Penguins opponents have earned 102 power play tries (20th in the NHL) and have tallied 20 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Stuart Skinner. The opposition has been able to score 525 goals against Skinner in his pro hockey career and his goals against average per contest is 2.72. Skinner has participated in 199 contests throughout his professional hockey career. His save percentage sits at .903 in his 9,282 minutes in the crease. He has accumulated a record of 109-64-18 and got the start in 193 games. During his career on the ice, Skinner has compiled 105 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .544. Skinner has seen 5,431 shots taken against him and has accrued 4,906 total saves.

In their last game, Toronto opposed the Predators in a game where the Maple Leafs ended up losing by a final score of 5-3. They had 1 opportunity on the power play in this game but didn't put one in the back of the net. The Maple Leafs recorded 3 goals out of the 22 shots on goal they tried.

For the season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a total of 108 goals, 35 points, as well as a points percentage of .515. They have granted a total of 112 goals to be scored by way of 96 goals at even strength and 16 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Maple Leafs have accumulated 96 goals at even strength and 12 goals (32nd in the NHL) while having more men on the ice. They have a total of 86 opportunities on the power play and they have a power play rate of 13.95%. Toronto has attempted 912 shots (25th in the NHL) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.84%, while allowing their opponents 1,065 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 82.61% on their opponents 92 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.5%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Joseph Woll between the pipes. Woll is sitting with a career mark of 53-31-3 and has been in goal for 88 games. Woll's quality start rate sits at 62.4% and he has qualified for 53 quality starting assignments in his pro hockey career. He has a tally of 2,390 stops out of 2,622 shots taken, which gives him a save percentage of .912. His opponents are averaging 2.73 goals per contest and he has relinquished 232 goals altogether. He has made the start in 85 games and has been on the ice for 4,157 minutes.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (-182)

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