Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders Prediction, 12/2/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders

Date: Tuesday, December 2, 2025

Location: UBS Arena in Elmont, NY

TV: MSG Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Lightning (-144) Islanders (+120)

UBS Arena is the site where the New York Islanders (13-9-3) will go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning (16-7-2) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Lightning at -144 and the Islanders are priced at +120. The over/under is set at 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-1 win over the Rangers in their previous contest . The Lightning had a good offensive performance in this victory. In the game, they scored on 4 of the 35 shots they launched. Additionally, they had 2 power play tries but weren't able to score. Tampa Bay had 4 minutes in the box in this outing.

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With respect to their scoring capabilities, the Tampa Bay Lightning have earned 84 goals (5th in the league) so far this year and have conceded 65. For the season, the have a total of 34 points and their points % is .680. Tampa Bay steps onto the ice with 77 power play opportunities and they have notched 13 goals during those advantages, garnering them a rate of 16.88%. While at even strength, the Lightning have allowed the opponent to score 56 goals while having 71 when they are on offense. Tampa Bay has attempted 664 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 12.7%. The Lightning have had 687 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .905. Tampa Bay Lightning opponents have 80 power play opportunities (8th in the NHL) and have racked up 9 goals in those attempts.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Andrei Vasilevskiy. Vasilevskiy has been involved in 558 games over the course of his hockey career. He has amassed a mark of 342-168-37 and he started in 548 games. Opponents have scored 1,376 goals against Vasilevskiy in his career and his goals against average per contest is 2.51. Vasilevskiy has seen 16,591 shot attempts against him and has accrued 15,215 total saves. He has a save percentage of .917 in his 28,664 minutes between the pipes. Over the course of his pro career, Vasilevskiy has earned 319 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .582.

The last time they were on the ice, New York played the Flyers in a game where the Islanders got the tie by a final of 3-3. The Islanders recorded 3 goals of the 31 shots on goal they pursued. They had 5 power play attempts in this outing and converted 1 out of those tries.

New York has attempted 735 shots (9th in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 10.07%, while allowing their opponents 682 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 82.43% on their oppositions 74 chances on the power play, and their save percentage sits at 89.7%. They have recorded 84 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 13.10%. The Islanders are sitting with 63 goals at even strength and 11 goals (28th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have allowed 70 goals to be scored by of a combination of 57 goals at even strength and 13 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this year, the New York Islanders have accounted for 74 goals, 29 points, as well as a points percentage of .580.

For the opposition you are likely to see Ilya Sorokin protecting the net. He has tallied 7,320 stops out of the 7,997 shots taken against him, which gives him a save % of .915. Sorokin is sitting with a lifetime record of 132-96-38 and has participated in 269 games. He got the starting nod in 264 games and has racked up 13,449 mins. Sorokin's percentage of quality starts sits at 65.2% and he has qualified for 172 quality starting assignments in his pro career. The opposition is averaging 2.56 goals/game and he has yielded 677 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take New York (+120) and under 6 goals

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