Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals Prediction, 12/18/2025 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals

Date: Thursday, December 18, 2025

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: Monumental Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (+125) Capitals (-145)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (15-12-5) are traveling to Capital One Arena on Thursday where they will play the Washington Capitals (18-11-4). The odds on this game have the Maple Leafs at +125 while the Capitals are sitting at -145. The over/under is set at 6.5.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 3-2 victory over the Blackhawks in their last outing. The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road showing in the victory. In the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 3 of the 27 shots they put on goal. In addition, they had 3 power play opportunities and notched 1 goal. Toronto compiled 2 penalty minutes in this outing.

Get all of our NHL Picks Today

Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 87 power play tries (28th in professional hockey) and have racked up 15 goals in those chances. The Maple Leafs have had 1,002 shots taken against them and have a save percentage of .897. Toronto has attempted 868 shots and has a shooting percentage of 12.1%. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 88 goals while earning 93 themselves. Toronto steps onto the ice with 80 power play chances and they have added 12 goals out of those advantages, garnering them a rate of 15.00%. For the year, they have racked up 35 points and their points percentage comes in at .547. Regarding scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 105 goals (10th in the National Hockey League) on the campaign and have allowed 103.

Protecting the goal for this matchup will be Joseph Woll. Opponents have notched 229 goals against Woll in his NHL career and his average for goals against per game is 2.73. Woll has been involved in 87 contests over the course of his NHL career. His save percentage sits at .912 during his 4,155 mins guarding the cage. He has an overall record of 53-30-3 and he was named the starter in 84 games. Over the course of his pro career, Woll has compiled 52 quality starts and his quality starts rate sits at .619. Woll has seen 2,590 shots taken against him and has recorded 2,361 total saves.

The last time they were on the ice, Washington faced off against the Wild in a matchup where the Capitals went home in defeat by a score of 5-0. The Capitals earned 0 goals of the 25 shots on goal they attempted. They had 2 power play opportunities in this contest but didn't score a goal.

Washington has attempted 963 shots (11th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 11.01%, while allowing the opposition 903 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 75.49% on their opponents 102 power play chances, and their save percentage comes in at 90.7%. They have recorded 96 power play chances and they have a power play percentage of 15.63%. The Capitals are sitting with 91 goals at even strength and 15 goals (26th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 84 goals to be scored by way of 59 goals at even strength and 25 goals while they were shorthanded. On the year, the Washington Capitals are sitting with 106 goals, 40 points, as well as a points percentage of .606.

Across the ice you will find Logan Thompson protecting the goal. His opponents are averaging 2.60 goals per game and he has yielded 416 goals overall. Thompson's quality start percentage sits at 62.5% and he has qualified for 100 quality starts in his hockey career. He has made the start in 160 games and his ice time sits at 7,794 minutes. Thompson has accrued a lifetime mark of 100-45-20 and has participated in 169 contests. He is sitting with 4,363 stops out of 4,779 shots tried, which gives him a rate of .913.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (+125)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NHL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.