Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, 5/10/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Bell Centre in Montreal, QC

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Sabres (+102) Canadiens (-122)

The Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9) are on their way to Bell Centre on Sunday where they will take on the Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10) in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The series is tied 1-1. The moneyline on this contest has Buffalo at +102 and Montreal is sitting at -122. The betting total is set at 5.5.

The Buffalo Sabres will look to clean up some issues after taking a 5-1 defeat to the Canadiens in Game 2 . The Sabres had a rough night on the offensive side of the ice in the loss. For the matchup, they were able to notch a goal on 1 out of the 29 shots they put on goal. Moreover, they had 5 opportunities with more players on the ice but weren't able to make the most of them. Buffalo recorded 12 penalty minutes in this matchup.

Get all of our NHL Picks Today

With regard to their scoring, the Buffalo Sabres have accumulated 283 goals (5th in the league) on the campaign and have allowed 240. For the season, they have accumulated 109 points and their points percentage is .665. Buffalo comes into the game with 246 power play opportunities and they have notched 48 goals out of those tries, giving them a rate of 19.51%. When playing at even strength, the Sabres have allowed 198 goals while having 235 on offense. Buffalo has tried 2,307 shots and has a shooting percentage of 12.3%. The Sabres have had 2,381 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .899. Buffalo Sabres opponents have tallied 232 power play opportunities (19th in professional hockey) and have tallied 42 goals in those chances.

The player protecting the goal in this game is Alex Lyon. Lyon has been in net for 149 matchups during his NHL career. He has amassed an overall mark of 71-48-15 and he started in 134 games. The opposition has racked up 395 goals against Lyon in his NHL career and his goals against average per game is 2.95. Lyon has had 4,065 shots against him and has recorded 3,670 total saves. His save percentage sits at .903 in his 6,072 minutes guarding the cage. For his professional hockey career, Lyon has 74 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .552.

Montreal dominated offensively in Game 2. They had 5 power play opportunities in this contest but were not able to net one. The Canadiens converted 5 goals out of the 28 shots on goal they attempted.

The Canadiens have accumulated 223 goals at even strength and 56 goals (7th in professional hockey) while having more men on the ice. Montreal has attempted 2,156 shots (24th in professional hockey) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 12.94%, while allowing the other team 2,283 shots. So far this year, the Montreal Canadiens have a total of 279 goals, 106 points, in addition to a points percentage of .646. They have allowed 251 goals to be scored by of a combination of 197 goals at even strength and 54 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have earned 242 power play opportunities and they have a power play percentage of 23.14%. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 78.23% on the other teams 248 power play opportunities, and their save percentage sits at 89.0%.

For the opposition you will find Jakub Dobes in net. He has accounted for 1,470 stops out of the 1,627 shots tried, which gives him a percentage of .904. Dobes has accumulated a lifetime mark of 36-14-7 and has been in goal for 59 games. He has been a starter 57 games and has been on the ice for 953 mins. Dobes' quality start percentage sits at 61.4% and he has 35 quality starts in his career. Opponents are averaging 2.75 goals per contest and he has given up 157 goals altogether.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo (+102)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NHL picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.