New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, 3/17/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

The New York Islanders (38-24-5) are headed to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Toronto Maple Leafs (29-27-12).

The New York Islanders came out of this game feeling pretty good about themselves with a 3-2 victory against the Flames in their previous game. New York recorded 4 penalty minutes in this game. The Islanders had a middle of the road showing in the victory. They also had 1 chance on the power play but didn't get a goal. For the matchup, they converted 3 out of the 27 shots they put on goal.

At even strength, the Islanders have allowed 153 goals while getting 162 of their own. New York Islanders opponents have 181 power play tries (26th in professional hockey) and have racked up 33 goals in those attempts. When discussing their scoring capabilities, the New York Islanders have accounted for 193 goals (20th in the NHL) on the campaign and have allowed 186. New York has taken 1,882 shots and holds a shooting percentage of 10.3%. For the season, they have tallied 81 points and their points percentage is sitting at .604. The Islanders have seen 1,881 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .901. New York skates onto the rink with 195 power play chances and they have scored 31 goals out of those attempts, giving them a percentage of 15.90%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Ilya Sorokin. Over the course of his time in hockey, Sorokin has accumulated 186 quality starts and his percentage for quality starts is .644. His save percentage currently sits at .916 for his 13,511 minutes on the ice. Sorokin has had 8,744 shots taken against him and has garnered 8,007 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 737 goals against Sorokin in his NHL career and his goals against average per contest is 2.55. He has earned an overall record of 149-104-38 and he started in 289 games. Sorokin has played in 294 contests during his pro hockey career.

In their last game, Toronto faced the Wild in an outing where the Maple Leafs earned a win by a mark of 4-2. They had 1 power play opportunity in this outing but weren't able to notch a goal. The Maple Leafs notched 4 goals of the 26 shots on goal they tried.

So far this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 214 goals, 70 points, and a points percentage of .515. They have allowed 234 goals to be scored by of a combination of 205 goals at even strength and 29 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Maple Leafs have scored 182 goals at even strength and 32 goals (25th in professional hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have a total of 162 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 19.75%. Toronto has tried 1,853 shots (19th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 11.55%, while allowing their opponents 2,189 shots. They have earned a penalty kill rate of 83.52% on their opponents 176 power play tries, and their save percentage is 89.3%.

On the other side of the ice you will find Joseph Woll protecting the goal. He has gathered 2,976 stops out of 3,275 shots taken, giving him a percentage of .909. Woll has compiled a career record of 62-38-7 and has participated in 109 contests. He has started in 106 games and his ice time sits at 4,207 minutes. Woll's rate of quality starts comes out to 62.3% and he has qualified for 66 quality starting assignments in his professional career. Opponents are averaging 2.82 goals per game and he has yielded 299 goals overall.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto

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