Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, 3/3/2026 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB

TV: Sportsnet

The Edmonton Oilers (29-24-8) will try to defeat the Ottawa Senators (29-22-8) at Rogers Place on Tuesday.

The Ottawa Senators were on the winning side of the scoreboard with a 5-2 win against the Maple Leafs in the last game they played. The Senators had a good offensive outing and it showed in the victory. For the matchup, they converted 5 out of the 40 shots they put on net. Moreover, they had 3 power play chances and were able to net 1 goal. Ottawa amassed 15 mins in the box in this game.

Ottawa Senators opponents have tallied 171 power play tries (18th in hockey) and have scored 46 goals in those chances. The Senators have had 1,438 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .869. Ottawa has attempted 1,690 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 11.5%. While at even strength, the Senators have conceded 142 goals while scoring 149 as an offensive unit. Ottawa steps onto the ice with 191 power play opportunities and they have scored 45 goals out of those attempts, garnering them a rate of 23.56%. For the current campaign, they have recorded 66 points and their points percentage comes in at .559. When it comes to their scoring capabilities, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 194 goals (13th in the league) for the year and have surrendered 188.

The man in goal for this game is Linus Ullmark. Ullmark has participated in 323 matchups over the course of his pro hockey career. He has compiled an overall mark of 180-95-32 and he started in 313 games. Opponents have been able to score 799 goals versus Ullmark in his pro hockey career and his goals against rate is 2.55. Ullmark has had 9,333 shot attempts against him and has recorded 8,534 total saves. He has a save percentage of .914 for his 15,502 minutes guarding the cage. In his professional hockey career, Ullmark has 197 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .629.

Their last time out, Edmonton faced off against the Sharks in a matchup where the Oilers took the defeat by a mark of 5-4. They had 3 power play attempts in this matchup and notched 1 out of those opportunities. The Oilers scored 4 goals out of the 24 shots on goal they were seeking.

Edmonton has tried 1,829 shots (3rd in the league) and has accumulated a shot percentage of 11.76%, while allowing the opposition 1,651 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 76.92% on their opponents 169 power play tries, and their save percentage currently comes in at 87.7%. They have recorded 167 power play chances and they have a power play rate of 32.34%. The Oilers have accumulated 161 goals at even strength and 54 goals (1st in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have granted a total of 203 goals to be scored by of a combination of 164 goals at even strength and 39 goals while they were shorthanded. For the year, the Edmonton Oilers have earned 215 goals, 66 points, in addition to a points percentage of .541.

On the other side of the ice you will find Tristan Jarry defending the goal. Opponents are averaging 2.72 goals/game and he has yielded 831 goals altogether. Jarry's quality start percentage is 58.0% and he has earned 177 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has started in 305 games and has played for a total of 15,589 mins. Jarry is the owner of a lifetime record of 167-104-33 and has been in goal for 319 games. He has accounted for 8,181 stops out of the 9,012 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .908.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton

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