Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds

Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire

UFC 318

Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Dan Ige will enter the Octagon with Patricio Freire at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The line has Ige priced at -204 while Freire is at +166.

Dan "50K" Ige will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-9-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Patricio "Pitbull" Freire stands in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 36-8-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Dan Ige is landing 3.67 per minute and Patricio Freire is landing 2.45 significant strikes per minute. Ige connects on 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Freire is landing 40%. In terms of defending in the cage, "50K" takes 3.55 significant strikes per minute and "Pitbull" takes 4.48. Ige also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Freire prevents 57% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to wrestling, Dan Ige is the more efficient grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.94 times per 3 rds. Ige is taking his opponents to the canvas on 25% of the times he tries and is defending 58% of all takedowns attempted on him. Freire is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of his takedown tries and thwarting 88% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Ige is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 3 rounds while Freire tries 0.7 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Dan Ige faced Sean Woodson and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Woodson landed 57 of 121 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Ige finished this fight landing 53 of 116 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Woodson landed 51 of 115, which means his percentage was 44%. He landed 36 of 98 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Ige landed 41% of his significant strikes by landing 44 of 107. Of all the significant strikes, he was 28 of 78 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Woodson and 93% of them connected on by Ige were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Patricio Freire, he fought Yair Rodriguez and ended up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Freire landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Freire connected on 34% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 17 of 50. He ended up landing 8 of 38 significant strikes directed at the head. Rodriguez ended up connecting on 70 of 122 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 38 of 82 aimed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Rodriguez connected on 97 of 157 and Freire was 23 of 60 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Michael Johnson squares up with Daniel Zellhuber. Johnson steps into the Octagon holding a record of 24-19-0. The 39-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Zellhuber stands in at 6'1" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a record of 15-2-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Regarding grappling, Michael Johnson scores a takedown 0.61 times per 15 min while Daniel Zellhuber takes his opponents down 0.18 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Johnson tags his opponents 4.23 strikes/minute and connecting on 39% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Daniel Zellhuber, who tags the opposition on 40% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 6.26 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Vinicius Oliveira is set to enter the Octagon against Kyler Phillips. Phillips walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Oliveira measures in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When it comes to takedowns, Kyler Phillips curbs 75% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 51% of his attempts. Oliveira is taking his opponents to the mat on 60% of his attempts and defends against 76% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Phillips takes 3.47 strikes per min while he is landing 5.28 per min. Oliveira, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.77 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.92 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Patricio Freire (+166)

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