Daria Zhelezniakova vs Melissa Mullins Pick, 06/21/2025 Predictions UFC Baku Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/17/2025

Daria Zhelezniakova vs Melissa Mullins

UFC Baku

Baku Crystal Hall in Baku, Azerbaijan

Saturday, June 21, 2025

Daria Zhelezniakova will face off with Melissa Mullins at UFC Baku on Saturday, June 21, 2025. The opening odds have Zhelezniakova coming in at +220 while Mullins is coming in at -270.

Daria "Iron Lady" Zhelezniakova will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 68". Melissa "No Mess" Mullins measures 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 7-1-0. The 33-year-old reaches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Daria Zhelezniakova is landing 3.29 per minute and Melissa Mullins lands 3.43 significant strikes per min. Zhelezniakova is landing 38% of the significant strikes she tries and Mullins connects on 56%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Iron Lady" allows 1.70 significant strikes per minute while "No Mess" absorbs 3.26. Zhelezniakova also prevents 79% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Mullins is able to stop 49% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Melissa Mullins ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Baku	Daria Zhelezniakova	Melissa Mullins
Opening Odds	+220	-270
Record	9-2-0	7-1-0
Average Fight Time	9:26	9:49
Height	5'9"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	68"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.29	3.43
Striking Accuracy	38%	56%

In the grappling category, Daria Zhelezniakova is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 15 min. Zhelezniakova is scoring a takedown on 100% of the times she tries and thwarting 50% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Mullins is scoring a takedown on 37% of her takedown tries and is defending 85% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Zhelezniakova is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Mullins looks to get 0.2 finishes per 15 min.

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In her previous fight, Daria Zhelezniakova went up against Ailin Perez and was defeated by way of an arm triangle from half guard in round 1. Perez landed 22 of 27 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Zhelezniakova ended the night having landed 12 of 21 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Perez landed 7 of 12, giving her a percentage of 58%. She ended up landing 5 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Zhelezniakova landed 41% of her significant strikes by connecting on 5 of 12. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 4 of 10 aimed at the head. 42% of the significant strikes connected on by Perez and 80% of them landed by Zhelezniakova were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Melissa Mullins, she squared up with Klaudia Sygula and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 2. Sygula landed 100% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Mullins landed 23% of her significant strikes at distance. Mullins connected on 63% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 38 of 60. She connected on 36 of 58 significant strikes to the head. Sygula ended up connecting on 12 of 32 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she ended up landing 5 of 23 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Sygula ended up landing 22 of 42 and Mullins landed 54 of 85 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Irina Alekseeva takes on Klaudia Sygula. Alekseeva steps into the cage holding a mark of 5-2-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Sygula measures in at 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 6-2-0. The 26-year-old stretches 69". Regarding grappling, Irina Alekseeva is able to score a takedown 0.87 times per 15 minutes while Klaudia Sygula is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Alekseeva lands 3.84 strikes per minute and lands 43% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Klaudia Sygula, who connects on 37% of the strikes she has thrown and is landing 1.89 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Khalil Rountree Jr. is set to fight Jamahal Hill. Hill comes into this bout with a mark of 12-3-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 79". Rountree Jr. measures 6'1" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 14-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old extends his reach 76". In the category of takedowns, Jamahal Hill is able to defend against 73% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 10% of his attempts. Rountree Jr. is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 58% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Hill absorbs 4.02 strikes/minute while he connects on 7.05 strikes per min. Rountree Jr., notwithstanding, absorbs 4.51 strikes/minute and is landing 3.73 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Daria Zhelezniakova (+220)

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Pick:	Hati +105
Start:	June 19, 2025 @ 7:45 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Doc’s Sports Free Gold Cup Soccer Play. Take Hati +105 over Trinidad & Tobago (7:45 p.m. EST, Thursday June 19) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time – a DRAW is a loser here) Both sides lost their Gold Cup opener, but Hati looked a lot better in their loss. They lost 1-0 to Saudi Arabia as a big underdog, and they played well enough for at least a draw but gave up an early penalty. They played strong defense, however, and had some chances for the equalizer. They take a step down in competition here against a T&T side that lost 5-0 in their opener to a USA side that entered the tournament losers of four straight. The Americans scored at will and used T&T as target practice. T&T have won only one of their last eight matches, and they had one draw during that stretch. These sides have met only twice in history, and Hati won both matches, and neither was at home. This neutral site in Houston won’t make it any easier for T&T, and they will be in tough here. Hati is the better side. And even though they have lost two consecutive matches, they had won nine straight prior to that, and this seems like a great spot to get back on the winning track and collect full points in the process. Read More Read Less

Daria Zhelezniakova vs Melissa Mullins Pick, 06/21/2025 Predictions UFC Baku Odds

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