Jack Hermansson vs Gregory Rodrigues Pick, 06/28/2025 Predictions UFC 317 Odds
Jack Hermansson vs Gregory Rodrigues
UFC 317
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Saturday, June 28, 2025
Jack Hermansson will take on Gregory Rodrigues at UFC 317 on Saturday, June 28, 2025. The moneyline has Hermansson priced at +160 while Rodrigues is priced at -192.
Jack "The Joker" Hermansson looks to add a victory to his record of 24-8-0. The 37-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". Gregory "Robocop" Rodrigues measures 6'3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 75". With respect to significant strikes, Jack Hermansson connects on 5.09 per minute and Gregory Rodrigues lands 5.60 significant strikes per minute. Hermansson lands 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Rodrigues connects on 53%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Joker" allows 3.69 significant strikes per min and "Robocop" allows 4.95. Hermansson also curbs 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Rodrigues thwarts 51% of them.
| UFC 317 | Jack Hermansson | Gregory Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +160 | -192 |
| Record | 24-8-0 | 16-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:33 | 8:52 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.09 | 5.60 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 53% |
In the category of takedowns, Jack Hermansson is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.53 times per 3 rds. Hermansson is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his tries and is defending 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Rodrigues is taking his opponents to the mat on 38% of his takedown attempts and is defending 88% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Hermansson is the more apt fighter by attempting 0.4 subs per 15 min while Rodrigues tries 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Jack Hermansson went up against Joe Pyfer and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Pyfer ended up landing 95 of 254 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Hermansson ended the night having landed 188 of 327 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Pyfer landed 92 of 250, giving him a percentage of 36%. He finished the fight landing 56 of 196 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Hermansson landed 51% of his significant strikes by sticking 121 of 235. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 74 of 174 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Pyfer and 91% of them connected on by Hermansson were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Gregory Rodrigues, he battled Jared Cannonier and walked away with a loss via a punch to the head in round 4. Cannonier ended up connecting on 70% of his significant strikes at distance while Rodrigues landed 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Rodrigues ended up connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 93 of 221. He ended up landing 65 of 188 significant strikes to the head. Cannonier ended up landing 98 of 201 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 59 of 157 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Cannonier connected on 109 of 215 while Rodrigues landed 95 of 225 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Hyder Amil enters the Octagon against Jose Delgado. Amil will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 11-0-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Delgado measures 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career mark of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 73". In terms of takedowns, Hyder Amil is able to score a takedown 0.78 times per 15 minutes while Jose Delgado is averaging a takedown 4.80 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Amil connects for an average of 6.84 strikes per minute and lands 57% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Jose Delgado, who is landing 46% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 6.50 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Viacheslav Borshchev is set to battle Terrance McKinney. McKinney comes into this bout with a record of 16-7-0. The 30-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Borshchev measures in at 5'11" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 8-5-1. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 69". When it comes to takedowns, Terrance McKinney is able to deflect 77% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents down on 36% of the times he tries. Borshchev is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 43% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, McKinney is absorbing 2.59 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 5.91 per minute. Borshchev, on the other side, takes 4.77 strikes per min and is landing 5.25 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Gregory Rodrigues (-192)
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