King Green vs Diego Ferreira Pick, 08/16/2025 Predictions UFC 319 Odds
King Green vs Diego Ferreira
UFC 319
United Center in Chicago
Saturday, August 16, 2025
King Green will take on Diego Ferreira at UFC 319 on Saturday, August 16, 2025. The odds have Green priced at +137 while Ferreira is at -157.
King Green will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 32-17-1 (1 NC). The 38-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Diego Ferreira measures in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-6-0. The 40-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding significant strikes, King Green lands 6.40 per min and Diego Ferreira connects on 4.82 significant strikes per min. Green connects on 52% of the significant strikes he throws and Ferreira lands 40%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Gree takes 3.72 significant strikes per min while Ferreira absorbs 3.46. Green also stops 62% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Ferreira deflects 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 319 | King Green | Diego Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +137 | -157 |
| Record | 32-17-1 (1 NC) | 19-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:51 | 9:46 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 6.40 | 4.82 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 40% |
In the wrestling category, King Green is the more skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.22 times per 3 rounds. Green is finishing his takedown attempts on 39% of his attempts and thwarting 74% of the takedowns his opponents try. Ferreira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 30% of the takedowns he tries and defending 57% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Green is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 finishes per 15 min while Ferreira looks to get 0.6 finishes per 15 min.
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In his previous bout, King Green fought Mauricio Ruffy and walked away with a loss via a wheel kick to the head in round 1. Ruffy ended up landing 4 of 9 total strikes attempted in that contest. Green finished this fight landing 4 of 15 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ruffy landed 4 of 9, which gave him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 4 of 7 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Green ended up landing 26% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 4 of 15. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 1 of 7 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Ruffy and 100% of them connected on by Green were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Diego Ferreira, he faced off with Grant Dawson and took a loss on the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Dawson ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Ferreira landed 75% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Ferreira connected on 67% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 41 of 61. He landed 31 of 48 significant strikes aimed at the head. Dawson connected on 56 of 98 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 51 of 91 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Dawson connected on 195 of 269 and Ferreira connected on 84 of 113 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Gerald Meerschaert squares up in the Octagon against Michal Oleksiejczuk. Meerschaert will be looking to add a win to his career record of 37-19-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 77". Oleksiejczuk comes in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 20-9-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old extends his reach 74". In the grappling category, Gerald Meerschaert takes his opponents down 1.86 times per 15 minutes while Michal Oleksiejczuk scores a takedown 1.05 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Meerschaert tags his opponents 3.05 strikes per min and landing 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Michal Oleksiejczuk, who tags the opposition on 51% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 5.27 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Alexander Hernandez is set to go up against Chase Hooper. Hooper comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-3-1. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Hernandez stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 16-8-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 72". Concerning wrestling, Chase Hooper prevents 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedowns on 34% of his attempts. Hernandez is taking his opponents down on 36% of the tries he takes and stops 71% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Hooper takes 2.96 strikes per minute and he is dealing 4.53 strikes/minute. Hernandez, on the other side, takes 4.62 strikes/minute and is dealing 4.38 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take King Green (+137)
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