Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds
Kyler Phillips vs Vinicius Oliveira
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Kyler Phillips will enter the Octagon against Vinicius Oliveira at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The opening moneyline has Phillips coming in at +130 while Oliveira is priced at -152.
Kyler "The Matrix" Phillips walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Vinicius "LokDog" Oliveira measures in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Kyler Phillips is connecting on 5.28 per minute and Vinicius Oliveira is connecting on 4.92 significant strikes per min. Phillips lands 44% of the significant strikes he tries while Oliveira lands 44%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Matrix" absorbs 3.47 significant strikes per minute while "LokDog" allows 2.77. Phillips also stops 60% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Oliveira stops 52% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC 318 | Kyler Phillips | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +130 | -152 |
| Record | 12-3-0 | 22-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:02 | 11:56 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.28 | 4.92 |
| Striking Accuracy | 44% | 44% |
In terms of wrestling, Kyler Phillips is the more apt grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.63 times per 15 minutes. Phillips is taking his opponents to the canvas on 51% of his attempts and is stuffing 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. Oliveira is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 76% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submission attempts, Phillips is the more able fighter by trying 0.4 finishes per 15 min while Oliveira attempts 0.3 finishes per 15 min.
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The last time he fought, Kyler Phillips squared up with Rob Font and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Font landed 65 of 144 total strikes attempted in that contest. Phillips walked away from this fight having landed 50 of 143 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Font ended up landing 61 of 137, which gave him a rate of 44%. He ended up landing 50 of 122 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Phillips landed 30% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 38 of 125. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 19 of 98 pointed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Font and 84% of them connected on by Phillips were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Vinicius Oliveira, he faced off with Said Nurmagomedov and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nurmagomedov ended up connecting on 97% of his significant strikes at distance while Oliveira landed 72% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Oliveira landed 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 43 of 94. He ended up landing 24 of 63 significant strikes directed at the head. Nurmagomedov ended up landing 38 of 79 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 18 of 54 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Nurmagomedov was 69 of 111 while Oliveira connected on 68 of 125 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Marvin Vettori fights Brendan Allen. Vettori walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-8-1. The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Allen stands in at 6'2" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 24-7-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". In terms of takedowns, Marvin Vettori is able to score a takedown 1.51 times per 15 min and Brendan Allen takes his opponents to the mat 1.60 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Vettori tags his opponents 4.54 strikes per minute and is connecting on 46% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Brendan Allen, who tags his opponent on 53% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.55 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Nikolay Veretennikov is set to enter the Octagon with Francisco Prado. Prado comes into this bout with a mark of 12-3-0. The 23-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Veretennikov stands 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-6-0. The 35-year-old reaches 74". Concerning grappling, Francisco Prado is able to deflect 25% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 9% of the times he tries. Veretennikov is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the attempts he tries and curbs 57% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Prado is absorbing 5.32 strikes/min and he is connecting on 4.38 per minute. Veretennikov, at the same time, is absorbing 3.54 strikes per min and is landing 2.73 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Vinicius Oliveira (-152)
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